#美国非农就业数据未达市场预期 US CPI is about to be released, and the crypto market is entering a period of change

SOL is currently stuck around $126.2, caught between the middle band of the Bollinger Bands at 124.8 and the 30-day moving average at 126.15, with a trading range of less than $2. Observing the Bollinger Bands, the upper and lower bands are continuously narrowing, which often indicates that a major move is brewing.

There are some signs on the technical side. The MACD histogram is beginning to show green bars, although the fast and slow lines are still below the zero line, indicating that the bearish momentum is weakening, and the bulls seem to be quietly accumulating energy. However, the trading volume is only over 2 million, which has shrunk by more than half compared to the 5-day and 10-day average volumes. This insufficient volume situation carries some risks—rising without volume support is like floating duckweed, and false breakouts should be guarded against.

The key moment is coming. Tomorrow night at 21:30, the US December CPI data will be announced. The direction of this data is likely to determine the subsequent trend. If the core CPI year-over-year exceeds 2.7% or the monthly rate breaks 0.3%, the market’s hope for rate cuts may be dashed, and SOL could be pushed down to the support level of $118.8. Small coins like ZEC might experience a cliff-like decline; on the other hand, if the data cools down mildly to below 2.6%, the expectation of loose liquidity will ignite enthusiasm for risk assets, and SOL could surge toward the resistance at $130.8. The more popular coin sectors might see concentrated upward movements.

For me personally, I’ve already set my stop-loss and take-profit levels. Once SOL drops below $118.8, I will exit without hesitation; but if it breaks through $130.8 with volume, I will add to my position accordingly. The secret to catching explosive coins lies in patience—prioritize those with moderate volume expansion and technical indicators showing bullish divergence. Never chase after coins with shrinking volume that are rising artificially.

Honestly, CPI data is not just a number; it’s a touchstone for market direction. At the critical point of trend reversal, staying alive and exiting often outweighs chasing quick gains.