#密码资产动态追踪 # CPI Eve: Can SOL Break Through Resistance?

Less than 24 hours before the release of the US December CPI data. Let’s take a look at SOL’s trend: the price is hovering around $126.2, trapped between the middle band of the Bollinger Bands ($124.8) and the 30-day moving average (126.15). The upward and downward movement space has compressed to within $2. The Bollinger Bands channel continues to narrow — this situation usually indicates an imminent directional move.

There are some clues on the technical side. The MACD histogram is beginning to show green bars, although the fast and slow lines are still below the zero axis, the bearish momentum is clearly waning, and the bulls seem to be brewing a new move. However, the trading volume is only over 2 million, which is more than 50% lower than the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. This is a warning signal — a rise without volume support is like a floating duckweed, and could be a false breakout at any time, so caution is advised.

## The key is still tomorrow night’s data

If the US core CPI year-over-year exceeds 2.7% or the monthly rate surpasses 0.3%, the market’s optimistic expectations for rate cuts will be shaken. SOL might retreat to the support line at $118.8, and ZEC and other small coins could also experience chain reactions of decline.

Conversely, if the data gently falls back below 2.6%, the expectation of loose liquidity will increase, which is favorable for risk assets. SOL has a chance to test the resistance at $130.8, and the small-cap sector may see a surge.

## The trading logic is simple

My stop-loss is set at $118.8 — exit if touched. If it breaks through $130.8, add to your position. When choosing small coins, be patient, prioritize those with moderate volume expansion and technical indicators showing bullish divergence, and avoid chasing those with shrinking volume and false rallies.

Honestly, surviving and exiting at key points is more valuable than quick profits. CPI is not just a number; it’s a touchstone for the market’s next consensus.