2026-01-10 00:25:09

The latest insider views from the Federal Reserve are in. According to the latest news, key Fed speaker Nick Timiraos wrote that the December employment data has laid the foundation for a cautious stance at this month's meeting.

The story behind the numbers is still a bit heartbreaking—non-farm payrolls increased by only 50,000, and the average private sector hiring has declined to 29,000 for three consecutive months. This is the second time this year it has fallen to such a low level. However, the unemployment rate has improved somewhat, at least indicating that the labor market hasn't completely collapsed, which offers some reassurance.

How should we interpret this set of data? The market has already given the answer—at the Fed meeting on January 27-28, the probability of a rate cut is basically zero. Investors and traders now share the consensus: the Fed will continue to hold a wait-and-see stance and won't take new actions in the short term. For the crypto world, everyone knows what this means.

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AlwaysQuestioning

· 11h ago

Non-farm 50,000, is that even called data? The Federal Reserve is just putting on a show. No chance of interest rate cuts, the crypto world is about to cool down. Wait, what's going on with the improvement in the unemployment rate? Can things get better when workers are being laid off? What kind of tricks are being played behind these numbers?

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PhantomHunter

· 01-10 00:55

No chance of interest rate cuts anymore; this wave of coins is probably going to be hammered again.

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RugDocDetective

· 01-10 00:55

Uh, still keeping a wait-and-see attitude? The Fed's tricks are all played out. No major moves in the short term, this wave of coins will probably still be fluctuating here. The non-farm payrolls at 50,000 are a bit disappointing, but the unemployment rate staying steady is not too hopeless. Just wait, everyone. Next month, it's likely to stay the same.

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0xSleepDeprived

· 01-10 00:52

Waiting again? The Fed's move is really a life-saver. No play in the short term, retail investors have to endure again. The 50,000 non-farm payroll data, to be blunt, is a drag. Holding coins during this period is destined to be tough, brothers. Federal Reserve: I’ll just watch, no one move. Unemployment rate improving? Fooling nobody, private sector hiring is the real picture. No hope for rate cuts, BTC still faces pressure. That’s why I say the Fed is casting a long line to catch big fish; their patience is even stronger than ours.

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GhostWalletSleuth

· 01-10 00:39

No chance of rate cuts anymore, just continue to range sideways in the short term. The Fed's hand is played quite steadily, we still need to be patient. Non-farm payroll data is so disappointing, but the probability of rate cuts is really zero? That's a bit of a stretch. Money is still tight, and the room for coin prices is limited. The improvement in the unemployment rate is a bit of a slap in the face. What is the Fed betting on? Feels like the tactics are getting deeper. Let's wait and see, anyway there won't be any action in the short term, don't mess around.

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Layer3Dreamer

· 01-10 00:36

theoretically speaking, if we map fed hawkishness as a state verification function across multiple rollups... the implications for liquidity vectors become pretty bleak ngl. zero rate cuts = zero catalyst for that sweet cross-chain arbitrage we've been dreaming about. the blockchain trilemma just got a fourth dimension: monetary policy 💀

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