šØšØ BITCOIN IS TRACKING A CLASSIC SPECULATIVE CYCLE
This is not a random technical formation.
The current Bitcoin structure closely mirrors the speculative cycle described by Jesse Livermoreāa model that explains how markets transition between control and loss of control.
Phase 1: Accumulation (Left Side) ā¢Price advances within a well-defined ascending channel ā¢Pullbacks are shallow and aggressively bought ā¢Market structure remains intact ā¢Demand consistently absorbs supply This behavior is characteristic of a controlled, institutional-style accumulation phase. Point 6 represents the final extension of this structured move. While price is still rising, internal momentum begins to fade.
Phase 2: Expansion At Point 7, we see a structural breakānot a market top, but a shift in behavior. From here: ā¢Price acceleration increases ā¢Market control weakens ā¢Movements become less orderly This marks the transition into the expansion phase, where emotion and speculation begin to dominate. Phase 3: Distribution (Right Side) ā¢Volatility expands ā¢Price continuation becomes unstable ā¢Direction remains upward, but with increasing uncertainty This phase reflects distribution, where strong hands offload risk while weaker hands chase momentum.
š Key takeaway: The cycle does not end at the structural breakāit evolves. What changes is not direction first, but control.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
šØšØ BITCOIN IS TRACKING A CLASSIC SPECULATIVE CYCLE
This is not a random technical formation.
The current Bitcoin structure closely mirrors the speculative cycle described by Jesse Livermoreāa model that explains how markets transition between control and loss of control.
Phase 1: Accumulation (Left Side)
ā¢Price advances within a well-defined ascending channel
ā¢Pullbacks are shallow and aggressively bought
ā¢Market structure remains intact
ā¢Demand consistently absorbs supply
This behavior is characteristic of a controlled, institutional-style accumulation phase.
Point 6 represents the final extension of this structured move. While price is still rising, internal momentum begins to fade.
Phase 2: Expansion
At Point 7, we see a structural breakānot a market top, but a shift in behavior.
From here:
ā¢Price acceleration increases
ā¢Market control weakens
ā¢Movements become less orderly
This marks the transition into the expansion phase, where emotion and speculation begin to dominate.
Phase 3: Distribution (Right Side)
ā¢Volatility expands
ā¢Price continuation becomes unstable
ā¢Direction remains upward, but with increasing uncertainty
This phase reflects distribution, where strong hands offload risk while weaker hands chase momentum.
š Key takeaway:
The cycle does not end at the structural breakāit evolves. What changes is not direction first, but control.