This time, the United States directly kidnapped the Venezuelan president. It went so smoothly that I suspect it might be a trap or there is an insider involved.

There is a saying that the biggest suspect is always the vested interests. Maduro was arrested, and the top figures in the country are Vice President Rodriguez, Defense Minister Peros, and Interior Minister Cavelry. After Maduro's arrest, Rodriguez was appointed president, and he strongly condemned the United States. The other two also showed a tough stance. Maduro's performance in the US was very relaxed; if he were executed, he would probably be considered a national hero.

Although Venezuela proposed to cooperate with the US, it was mainly based on practical considerations. It is impossible to give all the oil to the US as before. They proposed principles based on international law and sovereign equality, non-interference in internal affairs. This clearly has some guidance. After watching their performance, Trump's goal was not achieved; instead, it strengthened internal unity. This does not align with America's usual style—internal chaos, supporting proxies, and the Orange Revolution.

What impact does this have on the crypto circle? If Venezuela continues with the current situation, Trump can say he has won big, but capital gains will not be realized. The rise of Bitcoin and capital inflows will decrease, shifting instead to gold. US stocks will also decline accordingly. Even if they rise, it will be a short-term hype. So, I believe the probability of this being a rebound is even more certain. The good news is that ETFs have started buying heavily again, with over 7,000 units purchased yesterday. This wave of rebound has not ended yet, and there is inertia.