The main players in the new narrative of the crypto circle are actually hot money. They come from the stock market, with keen instincts and decisive decision-making. Retail investors need to understand who their opponents are—how hot money operates and how to defend themselves in this game.
**What exactly is the new narrative in the crypto circle?**
In simple terms, it’s like a living organism. From birth, development, prosperity to eventual death, this process follows certain patterns.
**Generally, hype goes through five stages:**
**Initial Stage** — One or two leading coins start to surge and hit daily limits, with only a few people aware of this concept.
**Acceleration Stage** — Early-informed funds gradually enter, with leading coins showing reduced volume but hitting daily limits or one-word boards. At this point, participants are still few.
**Climax Stage** — The market begins to explore other coins under the same narrative, with multiple coins in the sector rising together, reaching a peak of enthusiasm.
**Weakening Stage** — The rally of the leading coins slows down, and there may be a phenomenon of switching leaders within the sector, signaling a downward trend.
**Decline Stage** — The market completely ends, major funds have already exited, and retail investors are left holding the bag.
**Remember these two points to avoid being cut:**
1. The new narrative in the crypto circle relies on "expectation" rather than actual results. Before expectations are fulfilled, prices can rise tenfold; after realization, they tend to fall.
2. Hot money fears a market without hotspots. Unlike value investors who hold a coin for months or even years waiting for the company to grow, hot money is restless. If there are no hotspots, they will create them. So next time you see certain coins inexplicably hitting daily limits, observe carefully—see if they share any common traits — this might be a signal for the next wave of momentum.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
24 Likes
Reward
24
7
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
FancyResearchLab
· 01-08 06:04
It's the same five-stage theory again. Theoretically, it should be feasible, but in reality, I was already trapped during the peak period.
View OriginalReply0
0xSunnyDay
· 01-08 04:55
That's right, I've seen through the five-stage pattern long ago. The key is to run during the first half of the peak period and not wait until the fatigue phase to react.
View OriginalReply0
0xSleepDeprived
· 01-06 06:55
Here comes the five-stage theory again, it sounds reasonable but I still lost... By the way, I didn't notice when the leading coin was at a flat price, it really was sleep deprivation causing slow reactions.
View OriginalReply0
AirDropMissed
· 01-06 06:55
That's quite true, but I only understood after being cut a few times... During the weak period, it's easiest to be fooled. Seeing the sector still rising, I want to chase, but end up stepping into a trap.
View OriginalReply0
LiquidationSurvivor
· 01-06 06:54
Got it. The so-called "hot money" is just creating illusions of expectations. We retail investors need to learn how to hit the brakes.
View OriginalReply0
degenwhisperer
· 01-06 06:48
Really, retail investors always end up holding the bag at the last moment, while the hot money has already sneaked away laughing.
View OriginalReply0
StakeWhisperer
· 01-06 06:42
Well said. I've gone through all five stages of pitfalls. Now, when the leading coin hits the daily limit, my first reaction is to step back and wait to see if other coins follow suit before I dare to enter.
The main players in the new narrative of the crypto circle are actually hot money. They come from the stock market, with keen instincts and decisive decision-making. Retail investors need to understand who their opponents are—how hot money operates and how to defend themselves in this game.
**What exactly is the new narrative in the crypto circle?**
In simple terms, it’s like a living organism. From birth, development, prosperity to eventual death, this process follows certain patterns.
**Generally, hype goes through five stages:**
**Initial Stage** — One or two leading coins start to surge and hit daily limits, with only a few people aware of this concept.
**Acceleration Stage** — Early-informed funds gradually enter, with leading coins showing reduced volume but hitting daily limits or one-word boards. At this point, participants are still few.
**Climax Stage** — The market begins to explore other coins under the same narrative, with multiple coins in the sector rising together, reaching a peak of enthusiasm.
**Weakening Stage** — The rally of the leading coins slows down, and there may be a phenomenon of switching leaders within the sector, signaling a downward trend.
**Decline Stage** — The market completely ends, major funds have already exited, and retail investors are left holding the bag.
**Remember these two points to avoid being cut:**
1. The new narrative in the crypto circle relies on "expectation" rather than actual results. Before expectations are fulfilled, prices can rise tenfold; after realization, they tend to fall.
2. Hot money fears a market without hotspots. Unlike value investors who hold a coin for months or even years waiting for the company to grow, hot money is restless. If there are no hotspots, they will create them. So next time you see certain coins inexplicably hitting daily limits, observe carefully—see if they share any common traits — this might be a signal for the next wave of momentum.