2026-01-05 18:32:20

I developed a Polymarket prediction market arbitrage robot, and the first feedback after deployment left me a bit speechless—the system told me there were no arbitrage opportunities at all.

It was only later that I realized that the seemingly available arbitrage space is actually an illusion. Even if opportunities do appear, they only flash by within a very short time window, with profits so slim they're hardly worth mentioning, and the market is not short of opponents who react faster than I do. Every time, I get stuck in the gap between liquidity and speed.

Now I am seriously reflecting. Instead of continuing to refine this system, it might be better to reconsider my career path—honestly, I am fully capable of rebuilding the entire tech stack. But if more people think like this, that might be the most realistic problem.

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MEVvictim

· 20h ago

Haha, this is the truth of Web3. Arbitrage bots are like stealing money in gamblers' dreams. To put it simply, insufficient liquidity is a dead end, always eaten up by those who trade first. This guy's reflection is pretty good, much better than most who stubbornly stick to it. There are indeed a lot of people now wanting to switch, and the competition never ends. Forget it, everyone, it's time to play blockchain games.

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MoonlightGamer

· 01-08 07:24

Really, this is how everyone doing arbitrage is now. They start full of hope, only to realize they're competing against high-frequency traders operating at millisecond levels, and they simply can't keep up. Wait, your reflection angle is interesting. Instead of continuing to optimize the bot, maybe consider switching careers? The logic is a bit jumpy, but I can feel that sense of helplessness. To put it plainly, the market has been squeezed to the bottom, and anything further down is just running in place. Not making money from the bot is one thing; what's truly heartbreaking is realizing you're not that special one. It feels like your experience is a microcosm of Web3 entrepreneurship... The success rate is really worrying.

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AirdropAutomaton

· 01-06 10:02

Haha, a punch in reality, and the arbitrage dream is shattered That's why 90% of arbitrageurs eventually switch to other strategies Want to beat the market? You have to beat everyone else. This game is simply not playable

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GasWastingMaximalist

· 01-05 21:27

Arbitrage robots were immediately taught a lesson when they went live, haha, so funny. This is probably the market's gentle side. No matter how fast humans are, they can't compete with those high-frequency trading monsters. The liquidity gap is like a sickle harvesting the leeks. Speaking of which, this shift in thinking is quite clear. Instead of being stuck in tiny profits, it's better to think about what else can be done.

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TokenVelocity

· 01-05 19:02

Haha, this is the reality. Arbitrage opportunities have been completely exploited. --- Feeling like I underestimated market efficiency again, truly unbeatable. --- Let's switch to something else. Too many people on this path, it's a bit competitive. --- I told you, the liquidity on Polymarket isn't deep enough, so it can't be arbitraged out. --- Having strong technical skills is actually a curse because everyone who can do it is doing it. --- Maybe try other chain-based prediction markets; perhaps you can find a loophole. --- That's why most people still rely on luck in the end. Speed can't be matched by code. --- I've heard people have already been burned on this, it seems arbitrage, while easy to get into, also has a low ceiling. --- Instead of competing in arbitrage, better to think about how to build a better prediction tool.

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MetaMaximalist

· 01-05 19:02

ngl this is peak market efficiency doing its thing... the arbitrage bots have already priced everything out before you even blink. classic case of thinking you found alpha when the market's already 3 steps ahead lol

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GateUser-0717ab66

· 01-05 18:59

Really, arbitrage is now a red ocean, and being 0.1 seconds slow means getting eaten up. Bro, your thinking is quick to adapt, much smarter than sticking to that same old system. This is reality—there are too many people who understand the technology, but only a few can actually make money. Alright, at least you've tried, which is more than most people can say.

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AirdropHunterKing

· 01-05 18:53

Haha, that's why I firmly refuse to get involved in arbitrage. It's too tiring and also costs gas fees.

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notSatoshi1971

· 01-05 18:53

Haha, that's just how reality is. The market has long been so competitive that there's no arbitrage opportunity left. The world has suffered from mev for a long time. Our current speed indeed can't compete with those big players. Let's shift to other directions; this track is too crowded. To put it simply, technology is no longer a competitive advantage. Instead of competing internally, it's better to look for blue oceans.

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