Bitcoin Christmas Bottom Pattern Reappears? Revealing the Secrets of Cyclical Adjustments from Historical Data

Bitcoin’s price movements are always full of drama. Nano Labs founder Kong Jianping recently pointed out an interesting phenomenon—this cyclical pattern is associated with specific time windows.

Data Talk: The “Bottom Magic” Before and After Christmas

Looking at over a decade of historical data, Bitcoin indeed shows seasonal characteristics at its lows during bear markets. It reached $319 around Christmas 2014, fell back to approximately $3,815 at the end of 2018, and hovered around $16,831 at the end of 2022. This pattern has repeated multiple times.

Starting from the low of $3,815 in 2018, Bitcoin’s price has risen to nearly $100,000 in just six years, reflecting the strong long-term growth potential of digital assets. From $0.25 in early 2010 to approaching $98,200 in 2024, this represents an almost 400,000-fold increase over 14 years.

Current Market Signals and Cycle Expectations

Entering 2025, market expectations for Bitcoin’s price are around $88,000, representing a certain correction from the 2024 high. Such adjustments are not unusual in historical cycles; rather, they indicate healthy market operation.

According to the latest data, Bitcoin’s current price is , with a historical high of @E5@. These data points further confirm that there is indeed a pattern of bottom formation within specific time windows.

The Nature of Volatility: An Inevitable Phenomenon for Growth Assets

From a macro perspective, this cyclical price fluctuation precisely reflects Bitcoin’s process of gradually improving and developing as an emerging store of value. Each bottom during a bear market is accompanied by the iteration of market participants and the re-anchoring of value consensus. The tendency for bottoms to occur around Christmas may be related to year-end capital adjustments, tax considerations, and cyclical changes in psychological expectations.

For investors, understanding this historical pattern is not only a review of the past but also a deep reflection on the future market operation logic.