2026-01-05 09:24:30

In the coming days, the crypto world is about to explode. One wrong step, and you'll be cut.

There are only two main events this week: the dollar policy news and the CES AI trend.

On Friday night at 21:30, the US non-farm payroll data will be released, and the market will inevitably move significantly. The logic is simple—worse non-farm data and higher unemployment rates increase the expectation of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates to stimulate the economy, which in turn makes Bitcoin more likely to rise. Basically, you need to watch the dollar index's movement at the moment the data is announced. If the dollar index drops, cryptocurrencies are likely to follow and rise.

Over on the eastern side, don’t ignore the CPI data at 9:30 on Friday morning. If the data is poor, there might be considerations to loosen monetary policy here as well. Globally, easing policies are generally positive for the crypto market.

On another front, the tech industry's annual CES show is happening in Las Vegas. The most eye-catching innovation this year is "AI agents"—technology that can browse the internet and pay for services on its own. If a hot application combining AI and blockchain emerges, a frenzy of related concept tokens could be just around the corner. This is a great short-term speculative theme.

My straightforward view: non-farm data acts like a referee, deciding the overall direction; CES is like a contestant, providing short-term hotspots. Retail investors are most likely to make mistakes by heavily betting on one direction at this time, only to be slapped hard from both sides.

My practical advice: before and after the non-farm data release, keep your positions light, watch more, act less. Focus on how BTC and ETH react to these data releases. Pay more attention to CES developments and look for potential opportunities in AI + blockchain. Small positions for quick in-and-out trades can be tried, but don’t be greedy.

This week will definitely be a turbulent one. Do you want to be the one who gets harvested, or the hunter who finds the right opportunity and runs?

BTC-0,02%

ETH0,31%

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CoinBasedThinking

· 01-08 05:23

The non-farm payrolls this time really, many people are probably going to get liquidated --- Keeping a small position these days is the truth, those with heavy positions are just waiting to be squeezed out --- I’ve bet everything on whatever AI blockchain game CES pops up, taking a gamble --- Dollar index down, crypto up, this logic is old news now --- It sounds nice, but the key is whether the timing for bottom fishing is right, even a minute’s difference is useless --- Double-sided face-slapping, I have deep experience with this, it’s the fate of retail investors --- Quick in and out with small positions sounds easy, but when the market actually arrives, I get cold feet. This illness can’t be cured --- If CES really creates a blockchain hit, and the concept coins take off, I’ll already be on the moon --- Don’t be greedy, I’ve said it a thousand times, but in the end, greed gets the best of you, haha --- Before 21:30 on Friday, I want to keep a small position, but I only have shanzhai coins, and I can’t even sell them off

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VitaliksTwin

· 01-07 20:49

I'm really afraid to sleep on Non-Farm night It looks like there's going to be another big wave, and damn, this is exactly what I fear most Brothers with heavy positions, be careful this week Is there anything interesting over at CES? It feels like the AI agency sector still has some room for hype But to be honest, I got burned once last time I listened to this kind of analysis, so I'm being more cautious this time Does the dollar index turn around and cause the price to rise? Sounds great, but in reality Trying a small position feels okay, but I still think I might get slapped with a reverse move

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TokenDustCollector

· 01-07 02:54

Stay vigilant that night of the non-farm payroll report; otherwise, following the trend could lead to a high chance of being cut. --- CES's AI theme definitely has potential, but don't go all-in on a single bet. --- Basically, it's still a matter of position management. Only with a light position can you survive until the end. --- The dollar index falls, and coins rise—this logic is old news, right? --- AI agents + blockchain sound like the next big concept trend, but it depends on whether there's real substance behind it. --- That Friday's two data points—one can determine the direction, and the other can lead the trend—retail investors fear most is betting incorrectly on both sides. --- Watching more and acting less—I've heard this a hundred times, but when the market arrives, it's still hard to control the hands. --- Quick in and out with small positions sounds simple, but in practice, you can be stopped out and eaten up in minutes. --- The reactions of BTC and ETH are the real barometers; everything else is just floating clouds. --- If you catch the bottom this week, you might indeed make a profit, but the bigger chance is being proven wrong.

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NFTArtisanHQ

· 01-05 09:53

the nonfarm data as "referee" framing is giving baudrillard's hyperreality tbh... like we're all just spectating the simulation of markets performing markets. but yeah, the ai-blockchain convergence narrative at ces could actually shift the paradigm here if executed with real tokenomic depth rather than just aesthetic slapping of buzzwords onto existing primitives

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just_here_for_vibes

· 01-05 09:51

Friday is going to be explosive, I better reduce my positions first, afraid of getting crushed. Non-farm payrolls are really not something to gamble on; it feels like every time I do the opposite. CES has some AI coins that need to be quickly bought at the bottom, but this time it’s probably just hype and concept trading. I’m just worried about reacting slowly and getting harvested; I’ll just lie low and watch the show this week. The US Dollar Index decides everything; monitor it well before rushing in, or you’ll easily get double-faced. Small-scale trial and error are okay, but don’t go all-in; learned that the hard way.

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ExpectationFarmer

· 01-05 09:41

I was watching that night of non-farm payrolls, and it really felt like walking on a knife's edge. It's another time of heavy losses; just read this article to understand. CES is launching AI+ blockchain products, so I went all-in on small-cap coins to try my luck. I'm used to getting cut, but this time it probably won't be worse, right? Light positions are the way to go, but I just can't control my hands. When the US dollar index drops, I follow the trend and buy, but I keep getting trapped. During CES, it will definitely be another round of short-term trading; let's see who can run faster then. I heard someone made a profit from non-farm payrolls, but why do I always operate in the opposite direction? Should I leverage this week? Feeling a bit itchy.

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OneBlockAtATime

· 01-05 09:38

The non-farm payrolls are once again dependent on the dollar's performance, really exhausting. --- Both light positions and cautious optimism, it's easy to say but really hard to control in practice. --- I only believe in CES jumping out with AI and blockchain; right now, it's all just hype. --- I've seen too many instances of double-faced behavior; this week, just play it safe and watch the show. --- BTC and ETH move with the data, but sometimes it's better to follow the market sentiment. --- Quick in and out with small positions, but the problem is, you can never exit quickly enough. --- At 21:30 on Friday, the exchange will probably crash again, haha.

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BlockBargainHunter

· 01-05 09:36

Non-farm CPI double kill, this week is indeed risky, I still prefer to keep some bullets for safety. Wait, AI agency + blockchain? We need to keep a close eye on this, if it really becomes a hit, we’ll be eating meat. One wrong step and you get cut? That’s exactly my story last week, uh, I’d rather not mention it. Quick entry and exit in small positions sounds easy, but execution is difficult, brother. Being careless is a common problem. I’ve never really understood the Dollar Index, everyone’s watching it, so I won’t be left alone either. That CES stuff, bragging like crazy, one is worth two, gotta distinguish between real and fake. Light positions, on standby, feels better than holding heavy positions for sleep quality, haha. Before and after non-farm data, all kinds of news flying around, retail investors can’t tell who’s harvesting whom. From your analysis, it’s actually just two words—wait, don’t rush to get in. AI seems to be hyped up a bit too much, but who knows, maybe it will take off.

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zkProofInThePudding

· 01-05 09:34

It's that same non-farm CES combo again. Last time I played it this way, I got my two months' salary cut directly.

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LiquidationWatcher

· 01-05 09:33

Always keep a light position before non-farm payrolls, or you'll really get trapped. Another "AI will explode" story, I really don't believe CES can change anything. Bet big on a direction? That's laughable, that's just the trap of being harvested. The US dollar index is king; only by watching it closely can you survive. Can BTC withstand this wave? I have a feeling it might drop sharply. I advise everyone not to be too greedy with CES concept coins; quick in and out is the truth. Talking about light positions nicely, but you still have to watch the market all day, it's exhausting.

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