2026-01-05 08:50:30

#数字资产动态追踪 The next few days will be chaotic in the crypto world; one wrong step and you'll be caught in a trap.

This week's drama has only two acts: the Federal Reserve's purse strings and the AI showcase at the gambling city.

On Friday night at 21:30, the US non-farm employment data will be released, and the market will inevitably see big swings. You need to understand this logic thoroughly: the worse the non-farm data, the higher the unemployment, and the more likely the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to "put out the fire," which could actually push Bitcoin higher. In other words, focus on the dollar index at the moment of the data release—if it drops, the crypto market generally follows suit and rises. This is a contrarian logic that many people tend to misunderstand.

On the same morning at 9:30, keep an eye on the CPI data from the East. If the data looks bad, we might also loosen monetary policy to stimulate the economy. A loosening global environment is not bad news for digital assets.

At the CES tech conference, the scene is lively with crowds. This year's real highlight is the "AI agent"—an entity that can browse the internet, trade on its own, and spend money independently. If any explosive applications combining AI and blockchain emerge, it will definitely spark a wave of hype around related concept coins, providing short-term trading opportunities.

Honestly, my view is this: non-farm data acts as the "referee" for the overall market direction, while CES new products are the "players" creating short-term hotspots. Retail investors are most likely to get caught off guard by betting full position during these times, only to be slapped in the face repeatedly.

My straightforward advice:

Reduce your positions before and after the non-farm data release, watch more and trade less. Focus mainly on how major coins like $BTC and $ETH react. Then, split your attention to CES news, look for points where AI and blockchain intersect, and if opportunities arise, try quick entries and exits with small positions to test the waters.

This week is destined to be full of ups and downs. Do you want to get caught in a trap or seize the opportunity and run after biting into it? If there are sudden market movements or important opportunities, I will provide analysis immediately. $BTC

BTC-0,09%

ETH0,19%

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BanklessAtHeart

· 01-08 08:40

Oh no, once again I'm overwhelmed by the Federal Reserve and AI I've long understood this reverse logic, just worried that I might still panic and go all-in when the moment comes CES is probably just hype again, but who else can we rely on to make a living? By the way, does anyone really manage to walk away unscathed during non-farm payrolls? Anyway, I don't believe it.

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AlphaWhisperer

· 01-06 11:36

Non-farm payroll day really depends on the US dollar index; reverse logic can easily confuse people. --- Holding a full position to gamble is basically suicide; reducing your position is the way to go. --- AI agents definitely have potential; let's wait and see what new things CES will showcase. --- This week feels even crazier than last year; retail investors are probably about to get another wave of being harvested. --- Trying small trades to test the waters is not bad, but you need quick reflexes. --- When the US dollar index drops, cryptocurrencies tend to rise; remember this reverse logic. --- A disappointing CPI is also a good thing? When the world is easing liquidity, it's indeed not a bad thing. --- Lowering positions before non-farm payroll is truly the only way out; otherwise, expect to be proven wrong. --- Combining AI and blockchain, concept coins are about to take off again, but quick in and out is the right approach. --- Find points of connection in the news; this logic is still reliable, it all depends on who has faster reflexes. --- Focusing on BTC and ETH is enough; everything else is noise.

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liquidation_watcher

· 01-05 09:20

Reverse logic can definitely be tricky to navigate, but most guys holding full positions before the non-farm payrolls need to be educated once again. Oh my god, I bet a little on the CES AI agency concept again. I need to see if I can ride it to the end. Reducing positions is spot on. This week, I plan to be a laid-back fish, watching more and moving less. I'm just worried about a surprise CPI drop. If that happens, crypto prices could go crazy, and there's really no way to prevent it.

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fren.eth