Start the new year with a lesson—don't become the fuel for the main force during a rapid surge.

When ETH just broke 3200, retail investors around the world were cheering. But look at that long upper shadow on the 15-minute candlestick chart, and you'll see what the main players are up to. The true golden pit isn't at the high cloud level, but in the defense zone between 3150 and 3160. This isn't just a price game; there's a bigger chess match unfolding behind the scenes.

As you see, when major countries start using phrases like "illegal but logical" to evaluate each other's actions, the global capital circle has long understood the underlying message—it's time for a rational showdown. The synergy between energy and finance is far more powerful than gunpowder; the geopolitical premium in the crude oil market is loosening, while volatility in the crypto market is tightening. Behind this seemingly contradictory phenomenon, the big players are quietly rebalancing their positions.

How to interpret the technicals? ETH's volume breakout on the 4-hour chart still needs a pullback for confirmation, with key support levels between 3150 and 3180. Meanwhile, the divergence between the global fear and greed index and Bitcoin funding rates has reached this year's high—indicating that bullish and bearish sentiments are fully polarized.

What’s needed now isn’t FOMO, but patience like a crocodile. The market is simultaneously driven by technical pullback needs and easing geopolitical tensions. Smart money is waiting patiently, just for the moment when "logic and emotion" are misaligned.

Remember this: sharp drops in an uptrend are not bad; they are gifts. But these gifts only fall into the hands of those who have set stop-loss orders in advance, placed limit orders, and kept a clear head.

At what point do you plan to counterattack with a "reversal"? Write your trading plan in the comments.