Bitcoin just oscillated around $92,400, with a four-hour chart showing a sea of green. The nearly 1,000-point increase indeed stirs many to act. However, beneath this surface prosperity of the current rally, there are several signals worth cautioning about.
First, let's look at the technical aspect. The short-term chart shows signs of being somewhat bloated, with selling pressure gradually building up. After such a rapid price surge, profit-taking is likely, especially in the absence of fundamental support.
More tricky is the news side. A major piece of information has just surfaced — Venezuela, this country, may hold over $60 billion worth of Bitcoin and USDT reserves. Yes, you read that right, over $60 billion. This isn't the holdings of a single institution but a national-level asset.
Where does this come from? The story begins in 2018. To counter U.S. sanctions, Venezuela started exchanging gold for USD, then using USDT received from oil sales to buy Bitcoin. After years of accumulation, they reportedly hold over 660,000 Bitcoins. The existence of this reserve is itself a mystery, but even more frightening is the potential market impact it could bring.
The current concern is that this massive asset is like a sword hanging over the head. If, due to geopolitical changes or other reasons, these Bitcoins are forced to flood the market, how terrifying would the selling pressure be? Even if the inflow is just speculation, the cautious attitude of large funds is enough to alter the market rhythm.
Such uncertainties, appearing at current high prices, indeed add chips to the bearish camp. In the short term, the risk of a correction is increasing.
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Web3Educator
· 01-06 13:46
ngl the venezuela angle is pretty wild... like fundamentally speaking, 660k btc just sitting there is a systemic risk nobody talks about enough. let me break this down for my students - this is basically the sword of damocles scenario playing out in real time.
Reply0
StakeHouseDirector
· 01-05 09:55
Venezuela 660,000 coins? That number sounds a bit suspicious, feels like the crypto circle is starting to spread rumors again.
Wait, if they were really going to dump, they would have done it already. Why are they only talking about it now?
The term "virtual fat" is used perfectly; it really feels like this wave of gains doesn't quite add up.
A 60 billion dump—what can I do with my 90,000 yuan... Forget it, keep stacking.
That's why I never chase highs. Watching you guys FOMO and get caught really...
Honestly, it's just the whales scaring people, retail investors keep buying the dip.
Venezuela: You all guess I have it, but I won't tell you what I do if I do. Haha.
This kind of uncertainty is the worst; you never know when a sudden blow will come.
Virtual fat + good news exhausted = reverse short? I dare not bet on it.
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FreeRider
· 01-05 07:49
Venezuela's 660,000 Bitcoins? If that's really true, we're in for a bungee jump.
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketMonk
· 01-05 07:48
Did Venezuela really pour down that 60 billion? We're about to jump off a building... The false rebound of the virtual economy should have been warned about long ago.
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketBuyer
· 01-05 07:46
Venezuela's 660,000 Bitcoins? If that really happens, I'll just buy the dip and go bankrupt.
View OriginalReply0
NewDAOdreamer
· 01-05 07:45
Venezuela's 60 billion Bitcoin reserves? If that really happens, I'll directly buy the dip and eat noodles.
View OriginalReply0
BoredWatcher
· 01-05 07:33
Pseudo-fat rebound + ceiling pressure, this wave of rise is too rapid
Oh no, 660,000 Bitcoins crashing down is really terrifying
I don't dare to chase at the 92,400 level, feels like a pullback is coming
If the Venezuela thing really happens, big funds will definitely be cautious
Short-term bearish signals are indeed strong, I think we should wait before jumping in
View OriginalReply0
LootboxPhobia
· 01-05 07:25
Venezuela's 660,000 Bitcoins are hanging over their head, this is really incredible. When the time comes, a sudden sell-off will cause the price to slide down the mountain.
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Fake rebound, profit-taking has long been sharpening their knives, the bearish reasons are becoming more and more convincing.
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600 billion in national reserves, it's truly outrageous. A geopolitical shift can cause the market to collapse.
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Short-term correction pressure is building up, this wave of gains is just a false fire, with no fundamentals supporting it.
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The risk of national-level sell-offs can crush the market more than any retail investor mentality, no wonder large funds are reducing their positions.
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Still chasing @92400@ at this high level? You really should consider the uncertainties behind it.
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With such heartbreaking news on the fundamentals and a bloated technical picture, I really don't dare to take this rebound.
Bitcoin just oscillated around $92,400, with a four-hour chart showing a sea of green. The nearly 1,000-point increase indeed stirs many to act. However, beneath this surface prosperity of the current rally, there are several signals worth cautioning about.
First, let's look at the technical aspect. The short-term chart shows signs of being somewhat bloated, with selling pressure gradually building up. After such a rapid price surge, profit-taking is likely, especially in the absence of fundamental support.
More tricky is the news side. A major piece of information has just surfaced — Venezuela, this country, may hold over $60 billion worth of Bitcoin and USDT reserves. Yes, you read that right, over $60 billion. This isn't the holdings of a single institution but a national-level asset.
Where does this come from? The story begins in 2018. To counter U.S. sanctions, Venezuela started exchanging gold for USD, then using USDT received from oil sales to buy Bitcoin. After years of accumulation, they reportedly hold over 660,000 Bitcoins. The existence of this reserve is itself a mystery, but even more frightening is the potential market impact it could bring.
The current concern is that this massive asset is like a sword hanging over the head. If, due to geopolitical changes or other reasons, these Bitcoins are forced to flood the market, how terrifying would the selling pressure be? Even if the inflow is just speculation, the cautious attitude of large funds is enough to alter the market rhythm.
Such uncertainties, appearing at current high prices, indeed add chips to the bearish camp. In the short term, the risk of a correction is increasing.