2026/01/05 Gate Strategy Robot Weekly Report: BTC recovers to $93,000, ETH stabilizes at $3,200

GateBlog · 2026-01-05T06:40:22+00:00

Risk assets rebound after the New Year, with Bitcoin (BTC) bouncing back to around $93,000, Ethereum (ETH) rising to $3,200, and Meme sector sentiment improving. However, frequent derivatives liquidations pose significant short-term volatility risks. Focus on the impact of US labor data on risk appetite; market sentiment dominates short-term trading, while long-term capital deployment has largely been completed.

GateBlog

2026-01-05 06:40:22

Abstract generation in progress

After the New Year, risk assets generally rebounded, with BTC breaking out of a continuous rally and returning to around $93,000, ETH surpassing the $3,200 mark, and Meme sector volume increasing to drive sentiment recovery; meanwhile, derivatives liquidations remain frequent, and short-term volatility is more easily amplified by “liquidity + position structure.” On the capital side, spot ETFs for BTC/ETH saw significant net inflows at the beginning of the year, providing marginal support for prices; however, net inflows of ETH on exchanges increased, indicating that potential supply pressure still warrants caution. This week, focus on US labor data (non-farm payrolls) for risk appetite and dollar liquidity re-pricing.

Last Week (12/29–01/04) Market Review

The main themes of last week can be summarized in three phases: BTC strength → ETH catch-up driving ecosystem rotation → Meme surge amplifying risk appetite. After 2026, risk appetite clearly increased, with high Beta assets attracting incremental trading first, leading to a rally in altcoins and theme diffusion. Reports indicate that Meme sector market cap and trading volume both rebounded in the past week, becoming typical signals of risk appetite recovery.

Structurally, this resembles a “late-stage bull” pattern: Bitcoin oscillating at high levels + altcoins catching up + Meme sentiment accelerating. However, it’s important to note that such market conditions are often less stable than earlier main upward phases, with more frequent short-term surges and pullbacks driven by sentiment, themes, and position structure. Meanwhile, the net inflow of ETH on exchanges has sparked discussions about potential supply pressure, suggesting ETH may experience repeated digestion at key resistance zones.

Overall: last week was characterized by “sentiment-driven, theme-driven” trading, dominated by short-term traders; long-term funds are likely already positioned more ahead, and the current phase of new chasing funds bears higher high-level volatility risk.

1 | Market Environment Overview

BTC
After surpassing $93,000, BTC entered a high-level range. Technically, overhead resistance is relatively thin, but both bulls and bears are more prone to shakeouts, with a market rhythm leaning toward “short-term oscillation + quick pullback”; negative news or macro disturbances can amplify declines.

ETH
Reaching above $3,200, ETH acts more like “catch-up + ecosystem driving” role, with focus on ETH beta, Layer 2, and derivative narratives’ rotation continuity; however, net inflows on exchanges have increased, making the $3,200–$3,300 range more susceptible to repeated digestion and supply sensitivity.

SOL
In this Risk-on environment, SOL functions as a “high elasticity zone for capital rotation”: when BTC/ETH oscillates at high levels, funds tend to switch between strength and weakness on SOL, with the market showing rapid “rise—pullback—rise again” volatility.

Macro
Post-New Year, the market enters a “data re-pricing” window: US economic data will influence interest rate paths and dollar liquidity expectations, directly affecting the volatility of risk assets; liquidity remains in recovery after the holiday, and any data or news shocks are more likely to amplify short-term fluctuations. The main theme remains “whether risk appetite can continue to spill over”—if Meme strength persists, funds may further flow into altcoins and ecosystem themes; if sentiment cools, high Beta assets will retrace faster, and the market may revert to a structure of mainstream coins oscillating at high levels.

2 | Gate Ultra AI Strategy Operation Features

Trading Pair / Strategy	Robot Type	ROI in Last 7 Days	Strategy Description
BTC/USDT	Contract Grid (2×)	About 4.50%	High oscillation and frequent shakeouts, with returns mainly from range rotation efficiency.
ETH/USDT	Spot Grid	About 2.20%	More range-bound operation under catch-up structure, with resistance levels being tested repeatedly.
SOL/USDT	Spot Grid	About 6.30%	Capital rotation brings elasticity and volatility, with higher return flexibility.
XRP/USDT	Spot Grid	About 1.10%	Benefiting from sentiment spillover, but sustainability depends more on overall risk appetite.

3 | Hot New Coins Radar This Week

No new listings on Gate spot side last week.

4 | Suggested Asset Allocation and Risk Control

Note: This is for illustrating typical structures and risk exposure differences, not investment advice.

Asset	Suggested Ratio	Role	Risk Control Points
BTC	40%	Core Position	High-level oscillation prone to shakeouts; avoid increasing positions during rallies, prioritize controlling drawdowns.
ETH	25%	Stable Allocation	Stronger driven by catch-up and rotation; monitor key price levels for repeated tests, reduce unilateral exposure.
SOL	20%	High Volatility Position	Benefits from risk-on spillover but with fast pace; diversify positions, shorter cycles, avoid single-sided risk.
XRP	15%	Rotation Enhancement	More obvious sentiment-driven; quick switch between gains and losses, avoid chasing highs to prevent pullbacks.

5 | Important Events This Week

Date	Time (UTC+8)	Data / Economic Event	Impact Level
01/05 (Monday)	23:00	US December ISM Manufacturing PMI	⭐⭐⭐⭐	First key indicator of the year, focus on whether it stays above 50, and on new orders/prices components.
01/07 (Wednesday)	21:15	US December ADP Employment	⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐	“Mini non-farm” can trigger expectation revisions; watch for consistency with Friday’s NFP.
01/07 (Wednesday)	23:00	US November JOLTS Job Openings	⭐⭐⭐⭐	Signal of labor demand strength; a rebound may boost “delay in rate cuts” expectations.
01/08 (Thursday)	21:30	US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims	⭐⭐⭐⭐	Short-term indicator; continuous increases favor bonds and weigh on risk assets.
01/08 (Thursday)	23:00	US December ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI	⭐⭐⭐⭐	Service sector resilience determines inflation slowdown; focus on employment and prices components.
01/09 (Friday)	21:30	US December Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)	⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐	This week’s key event, influencing market re-pricing of January interest rate expectations.
01/09 (Friday)	21:30	US December Unemployment Rate	⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐	Unexpected rise in unemployment usually boosts “long bonds / rate cut” trades.

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Investment Risk Reminder

Cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile, and in risk-on sentiment markets, rapid surges and pullbacks are more common. This content is for market information and structural review only and does not constitute any investment advice.

BTC-0,61%

ETH-1,11%

SOL-2,89%

XRP-2,29%

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