Polymarket's prediction market shows an increased likelihood of the U.S. launching a military strike on Iran, with the probability of an attack by January 31 rising from 10% to 18%, and reaching 35% by June 30%. Previously, the U.S. took action in Venezuela, and President Trump issued a warning to Iran regarding its nuclear program. The market has wagered nearly $700,000 that the U.S. will decide to use drones, missiles, or airstrikes against Iranian territory.