After the New Year, risk assets generally rebounded, with BTC breaking out of a continuous rally and returning to around $93,000, ETH surpassing the $3,200 mark, and Meme sector volume increasing and driving sentiment recovery; meanwhile, derivatives liquidations remain frequent, and short-term volatility is more easily amplified by “liquidity + position structure.” On the capital side, spot ETFs for BTC/ETH saw significant net inflows at the beginning of the year, providing marginal support for prices; however, net inflows of ETH on exchanges increased, indicating that potential supply pressure still warrants caution. This week, focus on US labor data (non-farm payrolls) to reassess risk appetite and dollar liquidity re-pricing.
Last Week (12/29–01/04) Market Review
The main themes of last week can be summarized in three phases: BTC strength → ETH catch-up driving ecosystem rotation → Meme surge amplifying risk appetite. After entering 2026, risk appetite clearly increased, with high Beta assets attracting incremental trading first, leading to a catch-up in altcoins and expansion of themes. Reports indicated that Meme sector market cap and trading volume rose in tandem over the past week, becoming a typical signal of risk appetite recovery.
Structurally, this resembles a “late-stage bull” pattern: Bitcoin oscillating at high levels + altcoins catching up + Meme sentiment accelerating. However, it’s important to note that such trends are often less stable than earlier main upward phases, with more frequent short-term surges and retracements driven by sentiment, themes, and position structure. Meanwhile, the net inflow of ETH on exchanges has sparked discussions about potential supply pressure, suggesting ETH may experience repeated digestion at key resistance zones.
Overall: last week was characterized by “sentiment-driven, theme-driven” trading, dominated by short-term traders; long-term funds are likely already positioned more forward, and the current influx of chasing higher prices carries higher volatility risk at elevated levels.
1 | Market Environment Overview
BTC broke above $93,000 and entered a high-range zone, with relatively thin overhead resistance. Both bulls and bears are more prone to shakeouts, with the market tending toward “short-term oscillation + quick retracement”; negative news or macro shocks can amplify pullbacks.
ETH returning above $3,200 acts more like “catch-up + ecosystem driving,” with focus on ETH beta, L2, and derivative narratives’ rotation continuity. However, increased net inflows on exchanges make the $3,200–$3,300 range more susceptible to repeated digestion and supply sensitivity.
SOL in this Risk-on environment acts as “a highly elastic zone for capital rotation”: when BTC/ETH oscillate at high levels, funds tend to switch between strong and weak, with the market showing rapid “rise—retrace—rise again” volatility.
Macro: Post-New Year, the market enters a “data re-pricing” window: US economic data will influence interest rate paths and dollar liquidity expectations, directly affecting the volatility of risk assets; liquidity remains in recovery after the holidays, so any data or news shocks are more likely to amplify short-term swings. The main theme remains “whether risk appetite can continue to spill over”—if Meme strength persists, funds may further flow into altcoins and ecosystem themes; if sentiment cools, high Beta assets will retrace faster, and the market may revert to a structure of main coins oscillating at high levels.
2 | Gate Ultra AI Strategy Operation Features
Trading Pair / Strategy
Robot Type
ROI in Last 7 Days
Strategy Description
BTC/USDT
Contract Grid (2×)
approximately 4.50%
High oscillation and frequent shakeouts, profit mainly from range rotation efficiency.
ETH/USDT
Spot Grid
approximately 2.20%
More range-bound operation under catch-up structure, resistance levels more frequently revisited.
SOL/USDT
Spot Grid
approximately 6.30%
Capital rotation brings elasticity and volatility, higher profit elasticity.
XRP/USDT
Spot Grid
approximately 1.10%
Benefit from sentiment spillover, but sustainability depends more on overall risk appetite.
3 | Hot New Coins Radar This Week
Last week, no new coins were added on Gate spot side.
4 | Suggested Capital Allocation and Risk Control
Note: This is for illustrating typical structures and risk exposure differences, not investment advice.
Asset
Suggested Ratio
Role
Risk Control Points
BTC
40%
Core Position
High oscillation prone to shakeouts; avoid increasing positions during rallies, prioritize controlling drawdowns.
ETH
25%
Stable Allocation
Stronger in catch-up and rotation; watch key levels for repeated tests, reduce unilateral exposure.
SOL
20%
High Volatility Position
Benefits from risk-on spillover but with fast rhythm; diversify positions, shorter cycles, avoid single-sided risk.
XRP
15%
Rotation Enhancement
More obvious sentiment-driven; quick switch between rise and fall, avoid chasing highs to prevent retracement risk.
5 | Important Events Reminder This Week
Date
Specific Time (UTC+8)
Data / Economic Event
Impact Level
Jarvis Reminder
01/05 (Mon)
23:00
US December ISM Manufacturing PMI
⭐⭐⭐⭐
First key economic indicator of the year, focus on whether it stays above 50 and on new orders/prices components.
01/07 (Wed)
21:15
US December ADP Employment
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
“Small Non-Farm” can trigger expectation revisions; watch for consistency with Friday’s NFP.
01/07 (Wed)
23:00
US November JOLTS Job Openings
⭐⭐⭐⭐
Signal of labor demand strength; if rising, may push back “rate hike delay” expectations.
01/08 (Thu)
21:30
US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims
⭐⭐⭐⭐
Short-term indicator; continuous rise favors bonds and is bearish for risk assets.
01/08 (Thu)
23:00
US December ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
⭐⭐⭐⭐
Service sector resilience determines inflation slowdown; focus on employment/price components.
01/09 (Fri)
21:30
US December Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Key event of the week, influences market re-pricing of January interest rate path.
01/09 (Fri)
21:30
US December Unemployment Rate
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Unexpected rise in unemployment usually boosts “long bonds/easing expectations” trades.
Investment Risk Warning
Cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile, and in risk-on sentiment phases, rapid surges and retracements are more common. This content is for market information and structural review only and does not constitute any investment advice.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
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ThereIsNoBodhiTree.
· 01-06 14:18
Takeoff🛫
View OriginalReply0
Fantasy。
· 01-06 12:10
Hold on tight, we're about to take off 🛫
View OriginalReply0
Fantasy。
· 01-06 12:10
Hold on tight, we're about to take off 🛫
View OriginalReply1
TheWolfOfWallStreet
· 01-05 06:40
New Year Wealth Explosion 🤑
View OriginalReply0
Ryakpanda
· 01-05 06:39
New Year Wealth Explosion 🤑
View OriginalReply0
Ryakpanda
· 01-05 06:39
2026 Go Go Go 👊
View OriginalReply0
LittleGodOfWealthPlutus
· 01-05 06:35
Happy New Year!
View OriginalReply0
HighAmbition
· 01-05 06:28
2026 GOGOGO 👊
Reply0
BotsOfficial
· 01-05 06:27
Click to receive the new user experience fund for the robot: https://www.gate.com/zh/kol-trial-fund?id=cz1oZmxrbGN0ZXZ1JmM9Mjg4Ng
2026/01/05 Gate Strategy Bot Weekly Report
After the New Year, risk assets generally rebounded, with BTC breaking out of a continuous rally and returning to around $93,000, ETH surpassing the $3,200 mark, and Meme sector volume increasing and driving sentiment recovery; meanwhile, derivatives liquidations remain frequent, and short-term volatility is more easily amplified by “liquidity + position structure.” On the capital side, spot ETFs for BTC/ETH saw significant net inflows at the beginning of the year, providing marginal support for prices; however, net inflows of ETH on exchanges increased, indicating that potential supply pressure still warrants caution. This week, focus on US labor data (non-farm payrolls) to reassess risk appetite and dollar liquidity re-pricing.
Last Week (12/29–01/04) Market Review
The main themes of last week can be summarized in three phases: BTC strength → ETH catch-up driving ecosystem rotation → Meme surge amplifying risk appetite. After entering 2026, risk appetite clearly increased, with high Beta assets attracting incremental trading first, leading to a catch-up in altcoins and expansion of themes. Reports indicated that Meme sector market cap and trading volume rose in tandem over the past week, becoming a typical signal of risk appetite recovery.
Structurally, this resembles a “late-stage bull” pattern: Bitcoin oscillating at high levels + altcoins catching up + Meme sentiment accelerating. However, it’s important to note that such trends are often less stable than earlier main upward phases, with more frequent short-term surges and retracements driven by sentiment, themes, and position structure. Meanwhile, the net inflow of ETH on exchanges has sparked discussions about potential supply pressure, suggesting ETH may experience repeated digestion at key resistance zones.
Overall: last week was characterized by “sentiment-driven, theme-driven” trading, dominated by short-term traders; long-term funds are likely already positioned more forward, and the current influx of chasing higher prices carries higher volatility risk at elevated levels.
1 | Market Environment Overview
BTC broke above $93,000 and entered a high-range zone, with relatively thin overhead resistance. Both bulls and bears are more prone to shakeouts, with the market tending toward “short-term oscillation + quick retracement”; negative news or macro shocks can amplify pullbacks.
ETH returning above $3,200 acts more like “catch-up + ecosystem driving,” with focus on ETH beta, L2, and derivative narratives’ rotation continuity. However, increased net inflows on exchanges make the $3,200–$3,300 range more susceptible to repeated digestion and supply sensitivity.
SOL in this Risk-on environment acts as “a highly elastic zone for capital rotation”: when BTC/ETH oscillate at high levels, funds tend to switch between strong and weak, with the market showing rapid “rise—retrace—rise again” volatility.
Macro: Post-New Year, the market enters a “data re-pricing” window: US economic data will influence interest rate paths and dollar liquidity expectations, directly affecting the volatility of risk assets; liquidity remains in recovery after the holidays, so any data or news shocks are more likely to amplify short-term swings. The main theme remains “whether risk appetite can continue to spill over”—if Meme strength persists, funds may further flow into altcoins and ecosystem themes; if sentiment cools, high Beta assets will retrace faster, and the market may revert to a structure of main coins oscillating at high levels.
2 | Gate Ultra AI Strategy Operation Features
3 | Hot New Coins Radar This Week
Last week, no new coins were added on Gate spot side.
4 | Suggested Capital Allocation and Risk Control
5 | Important Events Reminder This Week
Investment Risk Warning
Cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile, and in risk-on sentiment phases, rapid surges and retracements are more common. This content is for market information and structural review only and does not constitute any investment advice.