This isn’t about politics or morality. Markets don’t trade narratives. Markets trade consequences.
The real issue: HEAVY OIL.
Venezuela holds ~303B barrels — the largest oil reserves on Earth. The catch? Most of it is heavy crude:
Capital-intensive
Infrastructure-dependent
Technically complex
Years of sanctions didn’t erase reserves — they destroyed production:
Infrastructure collapsed
Capital fled
Output cratered
Now look at the U.S. reality:
Home to 6 of the world’s largest heavy-oil refineries (TX & LA)
Heavy-oil imports rose from ~15% (1980) → ~70% today
This is a structural match, not a coincidence.
If U.S. majors re-enter and rebuild:
📈 Corporate profits expand
💰 Tax revenues increase
🔐 Energy security improves
Markets will price this setup first. Politics always follows — never leads. 🚀
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🇺🇸🇻🇪 U.S. – VENEZUELA: MARKET IMPACT BREAKDOWN
This isn’t about politics or morality.
Markets don’t trade narratives.
Markets trade consequences.
The real issue: HEAVY OIL.
Venezuela holds ~303B barrels — the largest oil reserves on Earth.
The catch? Most of it is heavy crude:
Capital-intensive
Infrastructure-dependent
Technically complex
Years of sanctions didn’t erase reserves — they destroyed production:
Infrastructure collapsed
Capital fled
Output cratered
Now look at the U.S. reality:
Home to 6 of the world’s largest heavy-oil refineries (TX & LA)
Heavy-oil imports rose from ~15% (1980) → ~70% today
This is a structural match, not a coincidence.
If U.S. majors re-enter and rebuild:
📈 Corporate profits expand
💰 Tax revenues increase
🔐 Energy security improves
Markets will price this setup first.
Politics always follows — never leads. 🚀