2026-01-05 00:20:16

#2026年比特币行情展望 $BNB

Network prediction sets vs. economic cycle theory, which system provides a more accurate valuation of digital assets? The collective wisdom of the domestic community versus the macroeconomic models abroad... This question is quite interesting.

In simple terms: can numerous traders based on on-chain data and technical analysis outperform long-term forecasts derived from classic theories like Kondratiev waves and four-year halving cycles? Both approaches have their supporters, but if you really want to say which has a higher hit rate... the logic is simple: the market has never had an absolute answer.

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MerkleTreeHugger

· 23h ago

Honestly, both can make money or lose money. The key is how likely you are to make the wrong choice.

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FortuneTeller42

· 01-06 09:03

I've overthought it anyway, I can't even earn those few points anyway.

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LiquidatedAgain

· 01-05 00:50

Once again, I get liquidated and come to speak... To be honest, neither set of data works for me. I rely on borrowing rates and collateralization ratios to survive. Kondratiev cycles? On-chain data? None of them are as important as monitoring risk control points. Only after experiencing a huge loss do I realize that prediction models are all armchair strategists; the key is to know exactly where your liquidation price is.

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LootboxPhobia

· 01-05 00:49

Honestly, both sets are nonsense; no one can predict the market.

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just_another_wallet