In the past month, I’ve taken some hits on ETH, PEPE, and DOGE, and all the losing trades are documented. Honestly, the trading itself isn’t necessarily wrong in an absolute sense; the core issue lies in timing.

I have to admit I have a problem. When it comes to mainstream coins and top MEME tokens, my sense of timing is particularly dull. On the other hand, when trading smaller coins, I can often see some clues just from the order book—whether the orders are active or passive, and at which price levels liquidation is more likely.

But it’s different with top-tier coins. Retail investors and institutions both jump into the market randomly. Even if there’s a big passive order appearing for a minute or two, it’s quickly swallowed by the market. The trading volume is so large that it masks all intentions, and the hype directly overrides all the details.

This is the reality—mainstream coins don’t have absolute whales; there’s only market consensus. You must always respect this power.

This reflection at the start of the year was worthwhile. Since the 5th, I’ve only made a small profit—nothing big. Small matters, small matters. Anyway, opportunities are everywhere every day.