2026-01-04 18:20:12

The recent market trend is indeed quite particular. After carefully analyzing the opportunities for both bulls and bears, the conclusion is that the current odds are not very favorable.

From a bullish perspective, the range resistance still exists, and the key point is that a series of dense data releases will occur next week. Especially the microstrategy index event on January 15th. Making a rash long position before this could easily lead to pitfalls, and the risk premium is not worth it.

Turning to the bears? The situation is not optimistic either. The bullish momentum is still evident, with prices repeatedly oscillating at high levels. A moment of carelessness could result in a reverse spike.

Weighing the pros and cons, my current choice is to pause trading. It’s not that I don’t want to make money, but I want to wait for a clearer opportunity with a more reasonable risk-reward ratio. Sometimes, the best move is to stay put.

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MevWhisperer

· 23h ago

Looking at this analysis, it's still quite cautious, but I think sometimes the safest move is to stay put and do nothing. If the odds are not favorable and you still push forward, it's purely a gambler's mentality. Let's wait for the data to come out; there are plenty of opportunities anyway, and there's no need to get caught in a squeeze right now.

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MonkeySeeMonkeyDo

· 01-07 08:50

Let's wait until the data comes out; right now, both sides are indeed caught in the middle.

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defi_detective

· 01-05 08:30

Damn, this wave of market movement is really frustrating. Neither bulls nor bears are having a good time. Wait, are you really not going to do anything? It seems like someone is always making money... I agree with the saying to stay put; it's just uncomfortable.

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AirdropHunterZhang

· 01-04 18:50

Bro, the odds are really hard to describe, and the courage to go all-in has been worn out. I agree with holding steady; rather than getting stabbed and cut, it's better to wait for that explosive value opportunity. Free riding is the real truth.

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SandwichDetector

· 01-04 18:49

Stop-loss is just taking profit; it's a bit of a forced acceptance.

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NotGonnaMakeIt

· 01-04 18:49

Listen, there's really no good opportunity this time, might as well just lie low. With such terrible odds and still trying to fight, we're not far from giving up. Let's wait for the data on January 15, anyway, it's better not to act now than to act impulsively.

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GrayscaleArbitrageur

· 01-04 18:48

Wait, I agree with your idea. It’s indeed not safe for both bulls and bears to force the issue in this situation. Staying put is the prerequisite for making money; too many people don’t understand this. Honestly, looking at the recent trend these past two days, it’s really awkward—neither high nor low enough. People are numb; let’s wait for the data week to pass before making any moves. Wise people see things differently; anyway, I’m just idling, observing first before acting. Charging in at this time would just be giving away money, so I choose to be patient.

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ProveMyZK

· 01-04 18:48

Bro, this analysis is spot on. I feel the same way—both bulls and bears are stinky. Let's wait for the data; no need to rush. If that wave on the 15th really hits the needle, it would be troublesome. For now, it's better to stay out of the way and be comfortable.

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BlockchainBrokenPromise

· 01-04 18:42

Alright, there's nothing wrong with what you're saying, but these days of waiting are the hardest to endure. Wait, will there really be such a clear opportunity, or are we going to wait for a long time again? Staying on the sidelines sounds simple, but watching the account stay inactive is really uncomfortable, huh. Actually, this is the contradiction: not daring to add more and not daring to be empty. Maybe it's better to go all in directly. I agree to pause, but I'm afraid that after pausing, I might miss that big fish. This is the toughest test of mentality; those who can resist trading are all tough guys. Data-intensive periods are indeed risky; will that mid-January wave set the tone directly? High risk no reward—nobody wants this feeling. I understand your choice.

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BlockchainBard

· 01-04 18:33

Sleeping is the most stable income; there's really no need to force it this time.

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