DOGE 4-hour technical warning signals: Key support levels and retail breakout analysis

In-Depth Technical Analysis — Why the Room for Adjustment Is Limited

Full Bearish Alignment of Moving Averages System

From MA5(0.126) to MA200(0.142), all moving averages are arranged in a complete bearish order from top to bottom, forming a typical trend suppression pattern. The current price is fully suppressed below the moving averages system, indicating this is not a simple correction but a standard downtrend structure.

MACD Indicator Signals Downward Movement

The yellow and white lines have fallen below the zero axis, with a value at -0.001. This structure indicates that the medium- and short-term trend is entirely dominated by bears, with no rebound momentum yet formed, and the green histogram has not yet shown a peak.

Momentum Indicators Confirm Weakness Collectively

The RSI index is at 37.9, still room before reaching the oversold zone (30), suggesting further downside is possible; Williams %R is at -67, far from reaching the oversold critical point (-80); more notably, the ADX is at 43.2, indicating the current downtrend strength is quite significant. Multiple indicators confirm that there are no clear bullish signals on the technical side.

Two Major Scenarios for the Future Market

Gradual Decline Scenario

With stable volume and no obvious signs of large capital bottom-fishing, the price is most likely to fluctuate within the 0.125-0.119 range, gradually eroding bullish patience over time and approaching the first support at 0.119. This scenario has a relatively high probability.

Rapid Bottom Testing Scenario

If the overall market weakens or systemic risks emerge, DOGE may accelerate downward to test deeper supports at 0.115 or even 0.113. Although less likely, it cannot be completely ruled out.

Three Trading Strategies for Retail Investors

Dealing with Being Trapped

For those holding positions above 0.13, taking profits now may be hard to accept, but blindly adding to positions to lower the average cost is even more risky. The correct approach is to patiently wait for the price to truly stabilize at a support level, and only consider subsequent actions after a continuous no-new-lows signal on the hourly chart appears.

Logic for Light Position Bottom-Fishing

For traders optimistic about the long-term prospects but cautious at this stage, they can deploy in batches at 0.119 or 0.115, using small positions each time, and moderately increase positions when the price drops by 3%, thereby widening the cost gap.

Correct Posture for Waiting Out of Short Positions

Those who have not entered the market should wait for a confirmation signal on the right side — when the price volume breaks through 0.128 (MA5) and stabilizes, it will be a relatively safe entry point.

Core Trading Discipline

Market cycles are never short of opportunities; the key lies in disciplined operation. Before a clear sign of a bottom is confirmed, any rebound should be viewed as a chance to reduce positions rather than a signal to rush in. Based on your risk tolerance and position size, act only after confirming support levels — that is the prudent approach.

Current DOGE price: $0.15, 24-hour increase: +7.35%