Seeing people panic-sell at the first sign of market movement reminds me of 2021—back then I also made the mistake of not holding onto my BTC, and by the time the market doubled, I was already out. That regret still lingers to this day.



But after going through several cycles, I realize these reactions are actually unnecessary. Bull markets are naturally filled with pullbacks and shakeouts; the real profit logic is understanding what’s happening behind these oscillations.

Rather than just talking about it, I prefer to share a few signals I regularly monitor—these can help stabilize your mindset a bit.

**My simple view: The bull market isn’t over; the current volatility is just squeezing out the bubbles and shifting the chips.**

Why do I judge it this way? I’ve summarized five daily signals I watch:

**1. Liquidity turning point is imminent**
The Fed’s balance sheet reduction (QT) is likely nearing its end. In plain terms, the money in the market is starting to increase gradually. When liquidity rises, all asset prices tend to hold up, and cryptocurrencies definitely won’t be absent.

**2. The pain period of regulation may be over**
Previous fines and investigations did cause some anxiety, but now the major landmines are gradually being cleared, reducing uncertainty. New funds are most afraid of black swan events, but now the environment is clearer.

**3. Rate cut expectations are quietly building**
At the Fed meeting in late October, the market has already started pricing in rate cut expectations. Once liquidity truly shifts to easing, funds will naturally flow into more potential areas—highly elastic assets like cryptocurrencies will inevitably attract attention.

**4. The appeal of safe-haven assets is fading**
Just look at gold’s recent trend; funds are no longer only seeking stability but are starting to look for more elastic opportunities. This rotation of capital often signals a market shift.

**5. Signs of smart money are very clear**
Over the past period, bullish options on crypto-related stocks and derivatives have increased significantly. These signals are usually not from retail traders. Institutional moves tend to lead the market, so they’re worth paying attention to.

Market rhythm is driven by multiple factors. Instead of being scared off by short-term fluctuations, it’s better to learn to read these signals—they often help you hold on at critical moments.
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JustAnotherWalletvip
· 01-07 01:27
I also sold in 2021, and every time it drops now I think of that regret... I'm just afraid I'll miss the next round again, but these signals you're showing are indeed interesting, especially the smart money part. I've also heard that QT is coming to an end. Do you think this time might really be different? When will the interest rate cut expectations finally materialize? I can't wait any longer. The most painful part of cutting losses is watching it double afterward. At this moment, I'm just thinking about how to stay disciplined and hold on...
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ZeroRushCaptainvip
· 01-06 18:45
It's the same old story. I believed it in 2021 too, and as a result, BTC directly halved my entire account. Wait... Why do I feel so familiar with these 5 signals from this guy? It seems I analyzed them the same way last year, and then nothing happened. But on the other hand, are institutions really accumulating at lows this time? Or are they just setting another trap for us? I'm numb. Just hold on. Anyway, there's not much left to cut.
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GraphGuruvip
· 01-05 12:26
Really, I also cut during the 2021 wave. Thinking back now, I still want to slap myself. Don't mess around anymore; you can't make that much money.
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StableBoivip
· 01-04 03:55
In 2021, I also impulsively cut my losses, and now every time I think about it, I want to slap myself. This time is definitely different; the shift in liquidity is truly different. All five signals point in the same direction. I can't say for sure we'll make a profit, but at least the mindset can stay stable. Institutions are quietly building positions, while retail investors are still cutting losses. It's hilarious. What does it mean that gold is starting to fall? It indicates that the money is about to move. The expectation of interest rate cuts might be the most critical factor. Once the capital flow is confirmed, everything will become clear. Instead of worrying about short-term fluctuations, it's better to look at the bigger environment, really.
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GateUser-44a00d6cvip
· 01-04 03:55
Oh my, I’ve learned that lesson back in 2021. Looking at these signals now really helps with my mindset. --- Exactly, every time the market fluctuates, a bunch of people get shaken out, then miss out on the doubling. This cycle is so classic. --- I've been paying close attention to liquidity shifts, and I feel there are some signs emerging. --- The key is to understand the underlying logic; otherwise, it’s easy to get scared out. --- I basically agree with all five signals, especially the smart money part. Institutional moves never deceive. --- Honestly, I’m much calmer now than in 2021. I won’t be torn apart by short-term volatility anymore. --- There’s still some room for imagination regarding rate cut expectations. Funds will definitely find a place to go. --- Those who cut their losses might not see through these signals, or they might have been broken by their mindset. --- The pain period of regulation is over, which is definitely a positive. At least I don’t have to worry so much anymore.
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Degen4Breakfastvip
· 01-04 03:53
I also cut the grass in 2021, and now I think it's funny Those who can hold on to it are crazy, and we deserve to be washed with a bad mentality This wave of institutional call options is crazy, and it feels like it is really going to change I didn't expect you to summarize it in such detail, and I didn't see the interest rate cut expectations clearly before Damn, you can't be scared out next time, a lesson in blood If I cut this wave again, I would be really stupid, and the bull market would have to dare to take it In other words, the rotation of gold is indeed a bit amazing, and the funds are definitely running Seeing that you are so determined, should I also be cheeky and hold on to the end? The supervision is actually not a big deal, and the psychological burden is much lighter When the interest rate cut really comes, we guys should be crazy
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Liquidated_Larryvip
· 01-04 03:53
The meme about cutting losses in 2021 really hits home. Looking back at that wave of market行情, I almost want to slap myself. Institutions are quietly entering the market, and you're still hesitating whether to cut? The signals are all here. I'm also watching closely as QT approaches its end; I really feel the wind has shifted. Honestly, there's a real difference between understanding a shakeout and a true breakdown. These five signals can definitely help stabilize your mindset. If you're still cutting losses now, just wait and regret it later haha.
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BrokenRugsvip
· 01-04 03:51
I also cut the bottom of the wave in 2021, and now it really feels different to look at this wave of signals
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GateUser-75ee51e7vip
· 01-04 03:29
Oh my, I also cut my losses during the 2021 wave. Thinking about it now, it's still a terminal illness. Checking the five signals, this approach is pretty good, but I don't know if we can really hold on this time. Are institutions really stockpiling? It feels like retail investors are always chasing. Are the rate cut expectations reliable? I feel like these expectations have been talked about for a long time.
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