12.26 BTC Market Analysis#2025Gate年度账单 $BTC ‌$ETH ‌

- Core conclusion: Currently, the bulls are losing momentum, and the downward trend is obvious. Focus on shorting during rebounds, strictly control position sizes and stop-losses, and avoid liquidity risks.

I. Market Analysis

- BTC (current price approximately 87,115, 24h -0.48%)

- Resistance: 87,600-88,500 (key moving averages + previous support turned resistance)

- Support: 86,400-86,500; if broken, look towards 85,500-85,000

- Indicators: Moving averages under pressure, lower highs, shrinking volume, MACD/RSI leaning bearish, bears are dominant

- ETH (current price approximately 2,897, 24h -1.68%)

- Resistance: 2,920-2,940 (short-term moving averages + dense trading zones)

- Support: 2,865-2,820; if broken, look towards 2,800-2,780

- Indicators: 50/200-period moving averages in a bearish alignment, weakening indicators, clearer bearish trend

II. Live Trading Operations (light positions ≤2%, strict stop-loss)

- BTC Short Strategy

- Entry: Short on rebounds to 87,600-87,800 (gradual position building, total position ≤2%)

- Stop-loss: 88,300 (exit if price effectively breaks through resistance zone)

- Take profit: first target 86,400; second target 85,500; take profit in stages

- ETH Short Strategy

- Entry: Short on rebounds to 2,920-2,930 (gradual position building, total position ≤2%)

- Stop-loss: 2,950 (exit if price effectively breaks through resistance zone)

- Take profit: first target 2,865; second target 2,820; take profit in stages

- Risk Reminder: Today, BTC options worth $2.37 billion are expiring. Be cautious of increased volatility; do not chase shorts on volume breakdowns of support, to avoid getting caught in short-term rebounds and "flying knives."

III. Position Holding and Risk Control

- Position: Mainly in stablecoins, short positions ≤2%, avoid heavy positions and overleveraging