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🎯Why trade and not guess ups and downs
In 2025, the market has repeatedly proven one thing:
The more "big shot consensus," the easier it is to be slapped in the face by reality.
Tom Lee (Bitmine)
Predicts ETH will reach $15,000 by the end of the year, currently only $2,939
Michael Saylor (Strategy)
Judges BTC will reach $150,000 by the end of the year, current price about $87,728
Ray Dalio (Bridgewater)
Warns that AI stocks are in a huge bubble, while Nvidia's stock has already risen over 30% this year
Harry Dent (Wall Street big short)
Declares that gold will inevitably crash, yet gold has gained over 70% this year
Are these people not smart? No.
Their mistake is precisely: trying to give the market a definite answer in advance.
⚖️The essence of the market: it doesn't reward predictions, only execution
In macro trading, prices are not "right or wrong," but an ongoing process of evolution.
The market won't reward you for "guessing the right direction"❌
But it will reward you in the long run for following the trend, controlling your position, and maintaining discipline✅
Truly consistent traders rarely ask:
"Will it definitely rise or fall next?"
They only care about three things:
✅Has the trend already appeared
✅Am I on the right side of the trend
✅If wrong, is the stop-loss small enough
🚀The correct trading mindset: after the trend appears, how to execute; trends are not predicted, they are walked out.
In an uptrend: Is the pullback stabilizing? Is it continuing to raise lows?
In a downtrend: Is the rebound weak? Is it continuously making new lows?
The key to trading has never been "buying at the lowest point and never missing out,"
but—
after the trend is confirmed by the market, repeatedly executing with rules.
🧠We should approach every trade with the correct trading mindset
Consensus is often meant to be broken.
Predictions are only for reference; execution determines life or death.
In a noisy market,
the true winners are always those:
who don't argue with opinions, only walk with the trend.🚶♂️📈#今日你看涨还是看跌?