Analyst: Bitcoin monthly RSI approaches the bull-bear threshold. If it falls below 55, it may face a deeper decline risk.

On December 25th, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr stated, “Bitcoin has fallen 20% over the past 3 months, and its annual return has turned negative, indicating a significant market correction. The key factor is the trend of the monthly RSI: currently at 56.5, only about 2 points below the 4-year average of 58.7, and this level has historically served as a dividing line between bull and bear phases. The next 1–2 months (i.e., Q1 2026) will be a critical observation window: if the RSI can hold above the 55–58 range, the possibility of a rebound remains; if it continues to fall below 55, the risk of deeper decline will increase.”