#数字资产市场洞察 [警惕] Fed interest rate cut expectations collapse, can the crypto market hold up?

In just one night, the situation has completely turned around.

The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in January has dropped from expectations to 22% - this is not a low probability event, it is the complete shattering of the market's dreams. Those voices that once hoped for interest rate cuts to save the market have now fallen silent.

The most terrifying thing is not the numbers themselves, but the signals behind them. Fed Vice Chairman Williams recently dropped a bombshell: inflation data is severely underestimated, and the real situation is much more perilous than the official data suggests. In plain language, this means - high interest rates must continue to be endured, and rate cuts are a long way off.

Now it’s getting lively. On one side, the White House is frantically pressuring for interest rate cuts, while on the other, the Fed is stubbornly holding its ground. The market is like a spring compressed to its limit; any piece of data shock or a misstatement from a big player can instantly trigger a dramatic fluctuation of hundreds of points.

How to live now? It's simple - don't gamble, don't lie flat.

Focus on two things: first, whether the economic data suddenly turns, and second, every statement from the decision-making body. This is not a case of unnecessary worry, but the real survival rule of the market. The more expectations are suppressed, the more violently they will rebound once reversed. The trigger point for the next wave of market trends may be in the moment of Powell's next speech.

$ETH, $DOGE, and $PEPE are also in this pressure cooker. Is the capital reserve in your account sufficient to cope with this level of volatility? That depends on your own assessment.