📌 As of December 21, 10:30, ETH is currently at 2,968, in a low sideways trend, with the 3,000 level being a short-term directional watershed. Without volume, it's hard to break the situation, so we first look at range fluctuations.

Key Price Level (USD)

• Resistance: 2,990-3,000 (psychological + EMA15) → 3,050 (Bollinger Band middle line) → 3,100

• Support: 2,930 (daily low) → 2,870 (previous low) → 2,800 (strong support) → 2,750 (61.8% Fibonacci)

Multi-period indicators and patterns

• Daily: EMA15/30 forms a bearish arrangement, MACD death cross with green bars narrowing, RSI around 42 is neutral to bearish, still bearish until it stabilizes above 3,000; breaking above 3,050 would enhance rebound momentum.

• 4 hours: Extreme volume contraction sideways, EMA convergence, KDJ is flat at a low level, MACD green bars shorten but have not crossed over, significant divergence between bulls and bears, beware of false breakouts.

• 2 hours: EMA30 (2,935) found support, MACD golden cross but the histogram is below the zero line, rebound strength is limited, and insufficient volume makes it hard to sustain.

Trading Strategy (Executable)

• Bullish: Accumulate positions in batches on a pullback to 2,850-2,870, with a stop loss at 2,820 and a target of 2,920-2,950. If broken, look for 2,980-3,000.

• Short: Rebound to 2,990-3,000 with a light position, stop loss at 3,030, target at 2,930-2,900, if broken look at 2,870.

• Neutral: Mainly wait and see, follow the trend after a breakout above 3,000 or a drop below 2,930, with no more than 30% position, and strict stop-loss control.

Core Judgment

Short-term fluctuations await decisions, with the 3,000 level being a dividing line for strength and weakness; low volume sideways trading is prone to shakeouts, with operations centered on "waiting for signals, controlling positions, and strict stop-losses."
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