2025-12-21 01:00:40

#大户持仓动态 $BTC $ETH $ZEC

At 2 a.m., the Wall Street trading floor holds its breath. Powell announces: the federal funds rate is lowered to 3.5%-3.75%. This is the third rate cut in 2025. Weak employment is the main driver—non-farm payrolls are significantly revised downward, and the unemployment rate surges to 4.4%. The market reacts with a complex mix: the dollar initially falls then stabilizes, gold prices fluctuate unpredictably.

The question is—what’s next? The signals from the dot plot are quite interesting: there may only be one more rate cut in 2026. The probability of a rate cut in June is only 50%. FOMC members are increasingly divided—some advocate for an aggressive 50 basis point cut, while others strongly oppose further easing. This uncertainty is exactly what the market hates most.

But that’s not all. The crypto market is quietly stirring at the bottom. On-chain activity on Ethereum is picking up, and new meme tokens are becoming active. In an environment of loose liquidity, will capital flow into the crypto space? The Fed’s $40 billion bond purchases far exceed expectations—an unmistakable signal of easing.

Traders are glued to their screens. The logic is simple: if labor data continues to worsen, rate cuts may restart; if inflation rebounds, everything resets. The next rate decision could rewrite the direction of global assets. Cryptocurrencies are currently waiting—waiting for that true takeoff moment amid the storm.

BTC0.13%

ETH0.23%

ZEC-2%

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MetaMisfit

· 15h ago

Interest rate cuts again, the Fed's actions are really outrageous, it feels like they are giving the crypto world a green light. Wait, the unemployment rate skyrocketed to 4.4%? Is the economy about to collapse or rise? The signals are so confusing. The Fed is divided internally, this is the real uncertainty, scarier than any fundamentals. I love hearing about bottom movements, but are you really going to enter a position? Or is it better to continue observing for peace of mind? Buying bonds of 40 billion exceeds expectations, liquidity is so loose, meme coins are active again, is it really To da moon this time? Powell's recent interest rate cuts, why does it feel like they are paving the way for a rebound after the big dump? It's really strange that no one is paying attention to ZEC, this kind of Privacy Coin should be up next, right? Let's see again in June, a 50% probability of such ambiguous signals, not interesting.

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RektHunter

· 18h ago

The Fed's recent actions, to put it simply, are a gamble on whether the unemployment rate can be controlled. The idea of a bottoming out is just a nice way to say they are waiting for the big players to accumulate, so don’t get caught off guard. That dot plot from Powell, indicating a 50% chance of rate cuts in June, is basically testing the market’s reaction. The true intentions are not fully revealed. Ethereum activity picking up? I don’t think it’s necessarily a positive signal; be cautious of a potential backlash market. With rate cuts continuing, the money still flows into risk assets. The question is, which risk assets are you investing in? The $40 billion bond purchase exceeding expectations sounds great, but it’s essentially the last straw for those engaging in stock-bond arbitrage.

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FlippedSignal

· 18h ago

Powell has acted again, and this time it's really interesting. Where should the funds flow to? You can truly feel the bottom stirring, but a 50% chance of rate cuts? That's too虚 (vague/uncertain). The Federal Reserve is fighting internally; let's just wait and see who ends up taking the fall. On-chain activity is picking up again, meme coins are starting to surge, hmm... should we be cautious or should we jump in? The easing signals are very clear; it all depends on when liquidity will truly flow into crypto. The dot plot thingy, honestly, even the Federal Reserve itself doesn't know which way to go. Labor data continues to be poor; the next decision is the real key. Someone is quietly accumulating at the bottom. With all these rate manipulations, when will crypto truly take off? 50% only in June? Do they mean they haven't really made up their minds?

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MEVHunterZhang

· 18h ago

Interest rate cut expectations are swinging again. The Federal Reserve's back-and-forth situation is really incredible. Retail investors hate this kind of uncertainty the most. The Federal Reserve is still debating whether to continue easing. Meanwhile, on-chain activity for ETH has actually picked up first. This bottoming movement feels promising. After three rate cuts by Powell, why does it still feel like the money hasn't reached us, and meme coins are the ones going crazy first? The $40 billion bond purchase exceeded expectations. This move... the signal of easing is obvious. Now we just wait to see if inflation will cause trouble. Capital is flowing into crypto at this time. We need to keep a close eye. The worst case is a wave of fluctuations that revert back to the original state. The unemployment rate has soared to 4.4%. Honestly, this might be a sign that crypto is about to take off. When the storm comes, gold will bloom. The 50% probability on the dot plot basically means the Fed itself isn't sure. The market hates this kind of misstep the most.

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GasBandit

· 18h ago

Powell is causing trouble again. The Fed's recent actions really gave the crypto market an opportunity. Cutting interest rates + easing looks like good news, but this uncertainty is deadly. Wait, ZEC is a bit interesting this time. Liquidity easing is here, funds need to find a place to go. Bet $50 that June won't see a rate cut. Bottoming out, same old tricks. In the end, it will just be hammered back down. The Fed buying $40 billion in bonds? Then I need to stock up more on Ethereum. Is this really different this time? I've got my hands on it.

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fren.eth

· 18h ago

Powell has cut interest rates again. The Federal Reserve is completely confusing? Saying one thing about controlling inflation while flooding the market with liquidity—I'm not following this logic. The unemployment rate is at 4.4%, which is the real killer. Once the next wave of data comes out, the rate cut train might really accelerate. Ethereum on-chain activity is picking up, I've been waiting for this signal. In a loose environment, capital always flows somewhere—cryptocurrency is really showing signs of bottoming out. The Fed's bond purchases of 40 billion dollars exceeded expectations? That’s an indication they plan to continue easing. The problem is, the market hates this kind of uncertainty the most, and gambling sentiment is rising again. Taking off? I think it’s more likely to be another roller coaster ride. Better to be cautious.

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