2025-12-20 23:28:45

This weekend, BTC performed quite steadily. Although there was no breakout rally, maintaining this stable trend is already commendable. As we enter next week, the two consecutive weeks of Christmas and New Year holidays will become a watershed for the market—trading volume will significantly shrink, and liquidity will be under corresponding pressure. The performance of such risk assets during holidays has always followed certain patterns; I did a detailed comparative analysis during last year's Christmas.

Based on historical data, the market usually begins to warm up around January 6th, when institutions gradually return, and liquidity starts to recover. In other words, the next two weeks are likely to be relatively dull, with limited trading opportunities. If you are a short-term trader, you may need to review your positions during this period; if you are a long-term holder, the low liquidity might not be a major concern. The key is to be aware and not be scared by holiday-induced volatility.

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AirdropSkeptic

· 16h ago

Holidays are like this, looking somewhat trivial, but actually the most testing of your mindset. I was caught in this trap last year. --- Waiting for January 6th? Alright, I’ve just been lying flat for the past two weeks anyway, and I’m not making much money either. --- To put it simply, if institutions are sleeping, we shouldn’t bother. Save some transaction fees, bro. --- Rare and valuable? Ha, so steady it makes people sleepy. Might as well take a holiday and go to sleep. --- The key is not to move recklessly with low liquidity. If your mental state is good, you have nothing to fear. That’s how I’ve gotten through it. --- It’s the same every year at this time. Nice words about shrinking trading volume, but in reality, no one is playing. Just do whatever you need to do. --- Long-term holders are laughing. Isn’t this a perfect opportunity to buy when others are panicking? Or are we all being shaken out?

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PriceOracleFairy

· 16h ago

ngl the holiday liquidity drain is just statistical noise if you're actually long-term... but that jan 6 inflection point? *chef's kiss* been tracking the exact MEV patterns around institutional re-entry for three years straight

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RektDetective

· 16h ago

The past two weeks of the holiday, I really had to hold on tight. Only when institutions return will there be hope. I learned my lesson last year... Once liquidity shrinks, there's really nothing you can do.

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staking_gramps

· 16h ago

The past two weeks of holidays have indeed been boring. I had already reduced my positions long ago. Rather than being stuck here watching the market, it's better to spend time with family. I'll get back in on January 6th. I also reviewed last year's Christmas data, and the volatility was indeed meaningless. Short-term traders should take a break now; don't get wiped out by liquidity for a tiny profit. Institutions haven't returned yet, and current operations are just gambler's psychology. Holders can just take a holiday; anyway, in the long run, these fluctuations are just noise.

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CodeSmellHunter

· 16h ago

During these two weeks of the holiday, I see most people are still sleepwalking, no one is trading at all, and institutions have all gone on vacation. See the true picture on January 6th. --- Steady is steady, but I’m just worried that a black swan might come during the holiday, and then no one will be there to take the other side of the trade, which would be awkward. --- That’s right, last Christmas was really like that—so boring. Better take this opportunity to study on-chain data thoroughly. --- Long-term holders are smiling; these two weeks are perfect for adding to their positions. Who cares about liquidity anymore? --- Wait, will the market really be this dull during the holiday? I feel like the risks are actually greater. --- I agree that being aware of the situation is important; just don’t make reckless moves. Let’s wait until the institutions come back.

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MoonRocketman

· 16h ago

The past two weeks of the holiday are simply a period when the launch window is closed. Liquidity contraction means insufficient fuel supply. I have already reduced my positions. Wait until January 6th when institutions return before adding more. This has been the pattern over the years. The RSI indicator has long told us it's time for a rest. Short-term traders are now just drifting in the atmosphere; it's better to land and wait for signals. The Bollinger Bands are tightening, and the dull range suggests we should observe quietly and not scare ourselves. My data comparison from last Christmas is right there—low liquidity during holidays can actually be an opportunity to pick up bargains, depending on your layout. Stability doesn't mean no opportunity; the key is to calculate the escape velocity and know when to withdraw. Liquidity pressure is the real test of patience. Long-term players should just sleep when it's time to sleep. This correction is quite normal—just a gravity pullback. Don't be fooled by holiday volatility. Two weeks of silence, get your ammunition ready. The recovery in January is the real countdown to launch.

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PumpDoctrine

· 16h ago

The next two weeks of the holiday should be a time to relax. Anyway, there won't be many trading opportunities, as institutions are on holiday.

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