Based on the recent BTC trend, the market has indeed shown some noteworthy signals.
Currently, several phenomena are quite evident: firstly, there is a clear change in capital flow, with AI models indicating that large funds are gradually exiting, and participation during rebounds has significantly decreased. Secondly, the proportion of shorts across the entire network has reached 73%, with $4.22 million in long positions liquidated in 24 hours, but retail investors are actually increasing their shorts, treating the market as a harvesting mechanism. The last key point is that the price is firmly held below the 88,200 moving average line, and the current position is like a spring being pressed down, limiting the space for a rebound.
From this perspective, short-term trading strategies can be considered as follows:
If the price rebounds to the 88,200-88,400 range, technically, it is a good shorting point. The stop-loss can be set at 89,000; if this level is broken, accept the loss. The target below is 87,000, and if it falls further, the main target zone is between 87,000 and 85,500.
To put it simply, trading is about managing probabilities. At this stage, the odds of the bulls winning are indeed decreasing, and maintaining caution and discipline is more important than anything else.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
Based on the recent BTC trend, the market has indeed shown some noteworthy signals.
Currently, several phenomena are quite evident: firstly, there is a clear change in capital flow, with AI models indicating that large funds are gradually exiting, and participation during rebounds has significantly decreased. Secondly, the proportion of shorts across the entire network has reached 73%, with $4.22 million in long positions liquidated in 24 hours, but retail investors are actually increasing their shorts, treating the market as a harvesting mechanism. The last key point is that the price is firmly held below the 88,200 moving average line, and the current position is like a spring being pressed down, limiting the space for a rebound.
From this perspective, short-term trading strategies can be considered as follows:
If the price rebounds to the 88,200-88,400 range, technically, it is a good shorting point. The stop-loss can be set at 89,000; if this level is broken, accept the loss. The target below is 87,000, and if it falls further, the main target zone is between 87,000 and 85,500.
To put it simply, trading is about managing probabilities. At this stage, the odds of the bulls winning are indeed decreasing, and maintaining caution and discipline is more important than anything else.