Open the exchange square, and recently it's all news about Trump, with overwhelming reposts and copy-pastes, but few people truly interpret the deeper meaning behind it. A single tweet actually hides the flaw in the next market move.

Trump's recent words are quite interesting: the unemployment rate rising to 4.5% is not a sign of economic collapse, but the result of the government actively slimming down. Understanding this statement in detail is valuable.

First, what does the unemployment data reflect? It's not that companies have no money to lay off workers, but that the government’s staffing is shrinking. The demand from the corporate side hasn't collapsed. This point is crucial.

Second, the data is ambiguous, and the Federal Reserve is even more hesitant to act rashly. The probability of a sudden rate hike in the short term has significantly decreased, and the upward pressure on interest rates expected by the market has been released. Bitcoin's biggest fear isn't the rate cut policy itself, but policy uncertainty and sudden changes. Currently, this "stability" is actually a positive for risk assets.

Without the impact of tightening, BTC can take a breather. The next market logic is simple — risk assets are starting to slowly recover. There may be short-term volatility and shakeouts, and a long/short kill scenario is unavoidable, but from a medium-term perspective, the Federal Reserve’s stance of holding steady has been established, and the probability of BTC breaking through 73,000 is increasing.

Tonight's US stock market opening will be very interesting. A fake fall followed by a sharp rally is a common pattern, and volatility could directly spike above 20%.

But what I want to say here is: don’t go all-in, don’t bet everything. No matter how crazy the market gets, keep some ammunition ready. Holding stablecoins with high liquidity and low risk is very important. Multi-chain stablecoins that can jump between ETH, TRON, BSC at any time can quickly switch in case of market sudden changes, and arbitrage becomes smoother without slippage. Some stablecoins also offer double-digit annualized yields on staking, providing a different feeling of earning passively in a bear market, and interest is credited every second with no friction for real-time withdrawals. On-chain transparent collateralization ratios (above 200%) also give confidence — no need to worry about flash crashes.

In summary: the macro window has opened, and BTC has a chance, but using good tools is more important than blindly rushing in.