The recent battle for the Federal Reserve Chairmanship has become a key focus in the crypto market. The Trump team has identified four candidates, including former White House economic advisor Hassett, current Board member Waller, and Goldman Sachs executive Riedel. The logic behind the candidate list is quite clear—those with the most dovish policy tendencies are more likely to be favored.



From a policy perspective, Trump's demands are unambiguous: significantly cut the federal funds rate from the current above 3.5% to create favorable conditions for economic growth and asset prices. Once political appointments truly dominate the Fed's monetary policy direction, it means the traditional independence framework of the central bank will be reshaped. The logic of financial markets is straightforward—an increase in the money supply and a decline in real interest rates often first impact risk assets.

From a liquidity standpoint, the scope of this change is beyond imagination. Large-scale monetary easing typically boosts valuations across various assets, and Bitcoin, as a liquidity-sensitive asset, has always been a leading indicator of macroeconomic changes. Ecosystem tokens with low gas fees and related concept tokens could benefit from this wave of expectations trading.

However, there is also a deeper issue lurking here: will a flood of cheap dollars into the financial system long-term weaken the credibility of the dollar? Is it driving asset bubbles higher or truly initiating a new cycle? This depends on whether subsequent economic growth can keep pace with liquidity. In any case, holding core assets and closely monitoring personnel changes at the Federal Reserve has become a consensus among rational investors.
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HodlKumamonvip
· 12-23 15:21
Uh... Speaking of the independence of the Central Bank being reshaped, I think we should first look at the data. Historically, what happened to Central Banks that were politically intervened? (´;ω;`) Can the explosive increase in the dollar supply really push BTC to rise? We need to look at the M2 growth rate and the correlation coefficient with the coin price to say something... I calculated the recent correlation, and it’s not as high as I imagined. If this wave of cheap dollars really floods the market, one question is—will it be another bubble? Friends who are doing Auto-Invest should control the pace. Wait, if that person from BlackRock gets elected... will the Blackstone system’s policies be more favorable to Spot ETFs? This angle is interesting. I think Bitcoin is indeed a leading indicator of liquidity, but don’t blindly chase the price; remember to leave some ammunition for the next adjustment opportunity. ٩(◕‿◕。)۶
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GateUser-7b078580vip
· 12-23 03:01
Data shows that the Intrerest Rate has dropped from 3.5%, although the bubble will eventually burst. Let's wait a bit longer.
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RugpullSurvivorvip
· 12-22 08:34
The independence of the Central Bank has been ruined, and now we really have to watch the political climate...
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SigmaValidatorvip
· 12-21 18:16
It’s another round of speculation about interest rate cuts; it’s always like this... This period is the most dangerous before any real action.
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GlueGuyvip
· 12-20 22:50
The expectation of interest rate cuts has reached this level, just waiting for the new Federal Reserve Chair to make a decisive statement. On the day the dovish candidate takes office, BTC is expected to take off directly.
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HalfPositionRunnervip
· 12-20 22:47
Dovish chairman = easing, easing = it's time to get on board, right?
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Layer3Dreamervip
· 12-20 22:41
theoretically speaking, if we model the fed chair selection as a recursive state verification problem... the dovish bias essentially becomes a cross-rollup liquidity event, no? cheap dollars flooding in = increased interoperability vectors for risk assets. btc's already signaling this through the zk-proof paradigm of price discovery lmao
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OneBlockAtATimevip
· 12-20 22:34
It's the same old trick again; in the end, playing with tokens all comes down to betting on politicians' moods.
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