I've seen many discussions analyzing the trends of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, with a wide variety of opinions, but most of them miss the key points. Based on over ten years of real trading experience, I’ll share some practical insights.



First, let's talk about the common misconceptions. Some start by explaining things like doji stars,孕育线 (孕育线), dark cloud covers, combined with MACD crossovers, sounding quite professional. But honestly, this set of theories offers minimal help in actual trading. The reason is simple—these basic patterns reveal very little information.

And that's not even the most painful part. Some people enlarge the candlesticks and analyze a few, or ten, lines in great detail. This approach is actually the easiest way to fall into traps. The market is a continuous whole, with cause-and-effect relationships between different parts. Focusing only on a local structure or a few candlesticks is basically blind watching.

So, what do real experts look at?

I think it can be explained from several angles. For example, the concept of divergence—ordinary traders need indicators to spot it, but experienced traders can see it directly from the candlesticks. What does this difference indicate? It shows that their minds have already internalized these concepts.

From another perspective, when the market forms a certain pattern, seasoned traders can directly imagine what MACD might look like, where the moving averages are, and how the Bollinger Bands are arranged—without even pulling up the indicators. Most veterans with over ten years of experience can do this. Essentially, this is the accumulation of skills over time, which is what we often call "market feel." Market feel isn’t mysticism; it’s muscle memory built through extensive chart observation.
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BrokenRugsvip
· 12-20 18:50
Ten years of experience sounds impressive, but intuition in trading is essentially built over time; there are no shortcuts.
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ContractHuntervip
· 12-20 18:50
That's true, but to be honest, I still often get fooled by these indicators. Ten years of market intuition is indeed strong, but how can beginners practice it? I don't have that kind of time.
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ZkSnarkervip
· 12-20 18:36
ngl this is just internalized pattern recognition dressed up in mystique. the "muscle memory" argument basically proves TA is just vibes-based gambling with extra steps, no?
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OldLeekNewSicklevip
· 12-20 18:22
Honestly, ten years of experience still don't help with these; the chives should be harvested or not. --- Is market intuition just muscle memory? Then why am I still the one getting cut? Laughing to death. --- I've heard this theory ten times, but I still end up losing big. Where are the supposed real trading experiences? --- The problem is that most people who have been watching the market for ten years haven't figured out the pattern. Your words might mislead new chives. --- Divergence, chips, market watching... all sound correct, but most people who enter the market and get wrecked probably think the same. --- Internalizing these things and then being able to profit steadily? Brother, you really dare to say that. When the market turns, anyone can get cut. --- Indicators are useless, candlesticks require a global view, market intuition is about accumulation... Well, isn't this just the perfect script for cutting chives? --- The difference between a ten-year veteran and a ten-year cannon fodder is probably winning or losing. If you have the skills, post your trading records.
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