The recent market movements are like watching a suspense thriller—every time Bitcoin pushes higher, the bears splash a bucket of cold water, pushing the price back down. But if you pay close attention to the charts, you'll notice that the signs of a reversal have already been laid out. Having endured three bull and bear cycles in this market, I must point out today: don’t be fooled by these oscillations and shakeouts; next week is highly likely to see a decisive trend change.

**Supply is Exhausting, This Is the Key Signal**

Looking at the recent trend, Bitcoin has failed three times to break through the resistance around 94,000 USD. At first glance, it seems the bulls are simply not strong enough. But there's a detail that’s easy to overlook—each attempt has been accompanied by decreasing volume. In simple terms, it’s like someone hammering with a lighter and lighter blow each time.

A truly strong resistance level is usually accompanied by substantial trading volume. But now, the opposite is happening—volume is shrinking, indicating that the selling pressure mainly comes from retail panic selling, not from the main players offloading. If the big players really wanted to dump, they would have sold en masse already. The shrinking volume actually reveals a message: the selling force is gradually being absorbed.

Another interesting technical detail—during the last correction, the price precisely stopped near the Fibonacci 0.5 retracement level, around 86,500 USD. Technical analysts know that this 0.5 line is a critical point, a dividing line between bull and bear markets. If this level holds, the upward trend remains intact; if volume breaks through the neckline with a surge, stop-loss orders from the bears could trigger a chain reaction, pushing the price higher.

**What Does the Long Lower Shadow on the Weekly Chart Indicate?**

This week’s weekly candle is likely to close with a long lower shadow. This pattern is especially important for judging the future direction. Historical experience shows that a long lower shadow often means panic selling has been largely cleared out, and this is a good opportunity for the main players to accumulate at low levels.

Think back to January this year—Bitcoin also showed a similar pattern around 89,000 USD, after which a significant upward rally was launched. The current chart resembles that period—multiple failed attempts at high levels, volume gradually decreasing, and support holding at key levels. Such a pattern is usually a precursor to a reversal.

In summary, although there will still be some oscillations in the short term, the trend is brewing for a change. The main players are quietly positioning within this price range, retail panic selling is being absorbed, and supply pressure is waning. All these signals point in one direction. Of course, the market always carries uncertainties, so investment decisions should be made based on your own risk tolerance.