#以太坊行情解读 🔥The predictive market reveals the trend: The competition for the next Federal Reserve Chair is becoming clearer
💥There has been an interesting signal in the predictive markets over the past couple of days. Data from Polymarket and Kalshi shows that the probabilities of White House economic advisor Kevin Hasset being nominated as the next Federal Reserve Chair have surged to 54% and 51%, respectively, currently leading the race.
Predictive markets are like the "nerves" of the market; by observing these changes, you can sense some underlying shifts—under political considerations, candidates who are highly aligned with economic policies and the leadership team are gaining weight. In other words, the market is betting on a Federal Reserve that may lean towards a more dovish stance.
What does this mean for the crypto market? Historical experience tells us that when the Federal Reserve shifts to an easing cycle, abundant liquidity tends to boost risk assets, including mainstream cryptocurrencies like ETH, which often present new opportunities. The market has already started pricing in this possibility in advance.
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consensus_failure
· 12h ago
Here we go again, can the prediction market data determine life and death? Do they really think the Fed chair is a beauty pageant contestant?
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EternalMiner
· 12-20 13:19
Hasset, once he takes the position, liquidity will flood in. Is ETH this wave going to be stable?
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TheMemefather
· 12-20 13:19
Is the easing expectation back again? Are we really in this wave, or are we getting cut again?
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potentially_notable
· 12-20 13:17
If Hasset takes the stage, the bullish expectations will directly take off. ETH will definitely benefit the most from this liquidity dividend.
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SpeakWithHatOn
· 12-20 13:09
Can Hashet really relax on stage? Let's first see if history will repeat itself.
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YieldFarmRefugee
· 12-20 13:09
If Hasset takes over, the relaxed expectations will rise again, and we crypto enthusiasts will finally have something to look forward to.
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CantAffordPancake
· 12-20 13:02
Will the liquidity really loosen up if Hasset takes over? It feels like the market is just scaring itself again.
#以太坊行情解读 🔥The predictive market reveals the trend: The competition for the next Federal Reserve Chair is becoming clearer
💥There has been an interesting signal in the predictive markets over the past couple of days. Data from Polymarket and Kalshi shows that the probabilities of White House economic advisor Kevin Hasset being nominated as the next Federal Reserve Chair have surged to 54% and 51%, respectively, currently leading the race.
Predictive markets are like the "nerves" of the market; by observing these changes, you can sense some underlying shifts—under political considerations, candidates who are highly aligned with economic policies and the leadership team are gaining weight. In other words, the market is betting on a Federal Reserve that may lean towards a more dovish stance.
What does this mean for the crypto market? Historical experience tells us that when the Federal Reserve shifts to an easing cycle, abundant liquidity tends to boost risk assets, including mainstream cryptocurrencies like ETH, which often present new opportunities. The market has already started pricing in this possibility in advance.