#以太坊行情解读 2025.12.20 $ETH Short-term Trend Analysis

The daily chart remains in a weak pattern, with the 3000 level acting as a significant resistance. The current strategy is clear—short on rallies, but only if the position is chosen well and risk is properly managed.

**How to interpret support and resistance?**

Looking upward, the 2985-3000 zone is a clear strong resistance area; breaking through 3030-3050 would truly ease the bearish pressure. Looking downward, 2880 is a key support, followed by 2820, with the final line of defense at 2750; if it falls below 2750, beware of risks targeting 2500.

**Comparison of signals across multiple timeframes**

On the daily chart, moving averages are arranged in a bearish pattern, MACD shows a death cross, and the lower Bollinger Band is opening—overall indicating a bearish rhythm. However, the 4-hour chart shows some signs of recovery: RSI has exited the oversold zone, EMA has formed a golden cross, and the MACD histogram is shrinking. This suggests a short-term rebound may be brewing. The 1-hour chart is more tangled; the rebound volume is insufficient, EMAs are converging, and while the oscillation is somewhat strong, its sustainability is questionable.

**Trading ideas (divided into two phases)**

*First phase*—short around 3000, with a stop-loss above 3050, targeting the 2920-2880 range.

*Second phase*—if the 2920-2930 zone stabilizes, consider continuing to short, with a stop-loss below 2880, and take profits when the price encounters resistance again at 2985-3000 (avoid greed).

Remember one iron rule: always set a strict stop-loss for any trade; it is the last line of defense against losses.