On day 45, I finally tasted some success—after two consecutive losses, this single bet completely broke my defense.

Playing the NBA prediction market seems simple, but there are actually many pitfalls. The three main matches I bet on all missed, especially two of them which I was confident about based on previous analysis. Even more disappointing, the neutral over/under predictions for two other games didn't go as planned, resulting in a single-day withdrawal of 200 U.

This loss made me reevaluate my prediction logic. The changes in dynamic odds moved much faster than expected, and some seemingly reasonable strategies showed deviations in actual execution. I may need to adjust my position management and risk control strategies; I can't rely solely on past experience to push forward recklessly. In prediction markets, details determine success or failure.