#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 The market shows clear signs of divergence, with funds quietly shifting



Recently, there's an interesting phenomenon in the crypto market: some leading players are starting to move from mainstream coins toward high-potential sectors. Rumor has it that Arthur Hayes recently completed a significant position adjustment—exchanging some ETH for carefully selected DeFi tokens.

His logic is quite straightforward: currently, fiat liquidity is improving, which means the funding environment will gradually loosen, and market trends may shift from a single hotspot to multiple blooming points. Although ETH is a major blue-chip, its size is fixed, and growth potential is naturally limited; in contrast, some solid fundamental, highly liquid DeFi projects might rebound more vigorously.

This is not a bearish view on ETH, but rather a search for assets with higher growth dimensions—simply put, "looking for incremental gains" rather than "running away."

ETH is now at a critical watershed: the resistance level is at 3120. If it can hold above this, the probability of further upward movement is relatively high; but if it falls below 2970, market sentiment may weaken significantly, with support lines at 2860 and 2720.

What does this mean for retail investors? Very simple—the era of blindly holding coins is truly over.

The core logic of recommended actions is as follows:

**First, don’t blindly sell ETH.** As the foundation of the entire ecosystem, ETH is unavoidable in a bull market cycle. Large positions should be held firmly. But at the same time, it’s important to recognize a reality: the yield of a single coin has an upper limit.

**Second, choosing the right DeFi projects is crucial.** Don’t buy everything; look for projects with genuine user bases and sufficient trading depth. Some small tokens with poor liquidity carry high risks and are easy to get trapped in.

**Finally, use a portfolio strategy to hedge risks.** Consider keeping ETH as a core holding (for stability), while allocating a small portion of funds to try out some high-quality DeFi swing opportunities in batches. This way, you avoid putting all your eggs in one basket and also create opportunities to participate in incremental gains.

Which DeFi projects will truly be driven by capital in the future? When will market sentiment fully shift? These require ongoing observation.

A final heartfelt note: market news is everywhere, but real risks and rewards are in your own hands. Understanding the logic before acting is much more reliable than blindly chasing the trend.
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BoredWatchervip
· 15h ago
Hayes' move is interesting, but I still think the timing isn't right yet. DeFi is hot, but be careful not to catch the last baton. ETH is indeed in a tricky position right now, caught between a rock and a hard place. When others switch coins, I follow suit—that's the biggest trap for retail investors. Let's see if 3120 can hold before making any conclusions; it's too early to decide now. Watching others make money is the most painful; better to stay on the sidelines for now. A combination attack sounds good, but I'm just worried I might get itchy fingers when it comes to execution.
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SandwichDetectorvip
· 15h ago
Hayes's move this time looks quite deliberate, but it's hard to tell which DeFi projects truly have fundamentals. Playing it safe with a diversified portfolio is the key to long-term success; don't go all-in on any single thing. ETH at 3120 is a critical level, feeling a bit tense. I just want to know who can really be driven higher by capital next; just listening to rumors is too unreliable. Retail investors fear following the herd the most, and this article is spot on about that.
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PumpBeforeRugvip
· 15h ago
Oh no, Arthur Hayes is at it again, and this time shifting to DeFi is quite interesting. Wait... Why does this logic sound the same every cycle? First hyping ETH, then saying they want to find incremental growth? I think it's just trying to scoop up some DeFi at the bottom. I'm just worried that when retail investors follow the trend, the incremental growth has already turned into decline. Uh.
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GasFeeCryvip
· 15h ago
Hayes' move is basically about not being able to find the desired returns in the ETH market cap. I can understand that. There are indeed opportunities in DeFi, but a slip-up can lock you in for half a year. Picking coins is even harder than timing the market. If 2970 breaks, I will sell half of my holdings. Anyway, I'm not in a rush to buy the dip.
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MemecoinTradervip
· 15h ago
nah the real psyops here is watching normies realize eth bags got bagholding written all over em lmao
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RektButAlivevip
· 15h ago
I understand Hayes' move this time; he's looking for incremental gains. The risk in DeFi is indeed high, so be cautious. ETH still needs to keep some reserve holdings; that's the fundamentals. Playing with small-cap coins for swings is fine, but don't get trapped. What does strong employment data mean? Is it going to lead to rate hikes or cuts? I can't figure it out. I've heard the hedging strategy of portfolio tactics too many times; ultimately, it depends on actual implementation. There are so many DeFi projects, but truly deep liquidity ones are few. No matter how well you phrase it, it can't change the reality of market segmentation; those bottom-fishing are all crying.
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MidnightTradervip
· 15h ago
Hayes is starting to play tricks again, this time really testing our psychological endurance. Are you really willing to touch those small DeFi tokens? It feels like it's easy to get wrecked. It's better to just hold ETH steadily. Is the 2970 level really that crucial? The combined strategy sounds simple, but in practice, it still depends on luck. Shifting funds... sounds nice, but in reality, it's just fleeing from ETH's mediocrity.
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