#预测市场活动 Wait, Stable is launching tonight at 21:00? 🚀 I just saw the forecast data on Polymarket, and the probability of the first-day FDV exceeding $2 billion has already soared to 86%. What does that mean?

Honestly, as a newcomer to the space, I’m a bit confused by terms like "FDV" and "prediction markets," but judging by the buzz, this project seems quite anticipated. The pre-market price is reported at $0.035, corresponding to a $3.5 billion FDV. If it really breaks through $2 billion... does that mean the market is very optimistic about it?

I’d like to ask the veterans here, does such a high probability in prediction markets really mean it will happen? Or is it just participants’ betting sentiment? As a newbie, I want to understand the logic behind it so I won’t be clueless about what the market is speculating on later.

Can any experienced folks give me a quick explanation on how to follow these new token launches? I feel like I always miss the important moments. Please point me in the right direction. 😅