Over the years in the crypto space, my deepest realization is that mindset determines everything; technical skills are secondary.

I entered the market at 29 years old, and it wasn't until 24-25 that I developed a relatively stable methodology. Now, my assets have reached eight figures, and daily I just monitor the charts to make a few contract trades. I rarely worry about money when I go out. Many people ask me for my secret, and I believe the most important thing is to understand the true pulse of the market.

**On the规律 of price rises and falls**

Bitcoin is basically the market's weather vane; most other coins tend to follow it. Coins with solid fundamentals like Ethereum sometimes can move independently, but altcoins are hard to escape Bitcoin's influence. This is a very important perspective because it helps you judge the overall trend.

There's also a very useful reverse indicator — Bitcoin and USDT usually move inversely. When USDT starts appreciating, it often signals that Bitcoin may be adjusting, so be alert. Conversely, when Bitcoin is rising, it's a good time to position in USDT.

**The mystery of timing**

Some time windows in trading tend to show patterns. For example, between 0:00 and 1:00 AM, needle-sharp movements often occur. Friends in China can take advantage of this by placing low-price buy orders and high-price sell orders for their favorite coins before bed; maybe they’ll execute overnight, allowing for easy profits.

Another key period is 6:00 to 8:00 AM. During this time, you can judge the day's trend. If the price has been falling from 0:00 to 6:00 and continues to do so, it’s a good opportunity to add to your position, as a rebound is likely that day. Conversely, if prices are rising from 0:00 to 6:00 and continue into 6-8 AM, consider taking profits, as a correction is probable that day.

5:00 PM is also worth noting, as it marks the active trading hours in the US timezone. Many big swings happen during this period, so always be prepared for volatility.

**Some observed phenomena**

There’s a saying about "Black Friday" in the market — indeed, there have been several major drops on Fridays, but there have also been rises and sideways movements. Its accuracy is average; just keep an eye on the news and information flow.

**Core of holding strategies**

For coins with trading volume support, if they drop, there's no need to worry too much. Patience will usually bring you back to break-even. Some recover in four days, others may take a month. If you still have USDT, buying in batches at low prices can speed up recovery and lower your average cost. If you have no spare funds, just wait — the market always gives opportunities. Of course, coins with no fundamentals are a different story.

Spot trading follows the same logic — choosing a coin to hold long-term yields far better than frequent trading. It depends on whether you have the patience to ride out the ups and downs.

Opportunities are everywhere in the market; the key is to develop a systematic way of thinking and establish your own judgment criteria. Only then can you stay clear-headed amid volatility.