#大户持仓动态 Eight years in the crypto world, I have repeatedly verified a simple yet brutal truth: any astonishing wealth accumulation fundamentally stems from a full respect for risk. Never losing money is always the first lesson; making money becomes a natural consequence.



My account started with 2600U and has now surpassed 30 million. But this journey is definitely not a perfect upward curve. In the early days, I did make some quick money relying on luck, but later I lost everything due to cognitive gaps, even incurring debt. The real turning point was after building a workable and consistently executable trading system, only then did the capital curve begin to stabilize and move upward.

In summary, there are actually only two things: use discipline to eliminate impulsive trades, and use data and probabilities to conquer market uncertainties. How to implement this concretely? I have three methods.

**First Trick: Layered Take Profits, Protect the Principal**

Every trade must have a clear stop-loss level and a layered take-profit plan. My habit is to lock in 50% of the gains into a cold wallet once it reaches 10%, and let the remaining position continue to run. The biggest benefit of this approach is that during a rally, you can enjoy the power of compound interest, but during a decline, the damage isn’t too severe. Over these seven years, I’ve experienced several black swan events, and the maximum drawdown has never exceeded 8%, which proves the effectiveness of this strategy.

**Second Trick: Don’t Bet on Direction, Just Follow the Market’s Rhythm**

I’ve long abandoned the futile game of predicting ups and downs. Now, I judge the major trend using daily charts, identify key resistance and support levels on 4-hour charts, and determine specific entry points on 15-minute charts. Interestingly, I often open both long and short positions on the same coin—this isn’t hedging, but letting the market itself teach me its rhythm.

**Third Trick: Low Win Rate Can Still Guarantee Wins, Risk-Reward Ratio Is King**

Honestly, my trading success rate is actually less than 40%. But that’s not a problem—because as long as I make five times what I lose, it’s enough. I divide my capital into ten parts for management, never risking more than one part of the total per trade; if I lose two consecutive trades, I stop immediately to rest and cool down; every time my account doubles, I take out a portion to allocate to safe assets like gold or bonds. The result of this approach is that even in a bear market, the account can maintain cash flow, always having ammunition to seize the next opportunity. Market opportunities are always there; what’s truly scarce is whether you have the ability to “stay alive” in the game.

The biggest change over these years has been my mindset. I’ve gone from someone who couldn’t sit still watching K-lines to a disciplined executor following preset plans. I look at moving averages to decide when to build positions, follow plans for exits, and regularly lock in profits. The simpler the mindset, the smoother the trading.

After more than a decade of ups and downs, the one thing I want to share most is: the more complex strategies are not necessarily more effective. What truly helps ordinary people steadily advance and go further in this market are often those simple methods that can be consistently executed and withstand volatility. If you’re also thinking about how to grow more steadily in the crypto market, welcome to exchange ideas. Let’s keep refining and improving this mindset through practical experience.
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Rugpull幸存者vip
· 2025-12-23 07:05
To be honest, reading this article feels a bit conflicting. 2600U to 30 million sounds really harsh, but the question is... can this logic really be replicated by retail investors? Seriously speaking, I agree with the layered take profit strategy. Taking 50% into a Cold Wallet at 10% is indeed a way to survive longer. Compared to those who go all in hoping to get rich overnight, this is definitely more reliable. However, I still have reservations about opening both long and short positions. It's not hedging if you open both, right? It still depends on market liquidity and transaction costs; otherwise, you might earn less than the trading fees. The core point is that the profit-loss ratio must be greater than the success rate. This is true; I've seen people with a 40% win rate double their money, and I've also seen those with an 80% win rate get trapped. The key really is discipline in execution.
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gaslight_gasfeezvip
· 2025-12-22 18:13
The core issue is to survive, don't engage in those flashy things. It's true, in the beginning, I also had a gambler's mentality, but later I realized that stop loss is the real moat. This logic sounds simple, but very few can truly stick to it. The win-loss ratio is greater than the success rate; too many people think the opposite. An 8% drawdown is a bit fierce; it depends on how the market is. The simplest methods are the hardest to execute; most people can't persist for two months.
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GhostAddressHuntervip
· 2025-12-21 20:36
This data sounds quite impressive... But to be honest, the take profit layering part is indeed interesting and needs to be appreciated slowly. It's true that treating the principal as something vital is no exaggeration; I've seen too many people gamble once and lose everything. A 40% success rate can still make a profit? That's all about the risk-reward ratio; got it. I need to repeatedly ponder over the step of locking the Cold Wallet. This trap sounds simple, but executing it is really challenging.
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NFTRegretDiaryvip
· 2025-12-20 08:50
Honestly, I've heard this approach too many times. The key question is, how many people can really stick with it? The first lesson of not losing money is correct, but most people simply can't do it. I am the opposite example. Layered take-profit sounds simple, but when the market really starts to rise, who still remembers their plan... A 40% success rate actually makes money. Logically, there's nothing wrong with this, but the premise is that you have to survive long enough, not get wiped out by a sudden market surge.
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OnchainSnipervip
· 2025-12-20 08:44
26 million to 30 million? Damn, this multiplier is outrageous --- To put it simply, living is more important than making money, I believe that --- Layered take-profit strategy, I need to think it through carefully, always too greedy and never exited --- Stopping after two consecutive losses, I can't do that... always trying to recover --- A 40% success rate can still make money? The risk-reward ratio is indeed the key --- The scariest thing is a sudden margin call overnight, looks like I need to learn to respect the risk --- "Stay alive in the game"—that hits hard, so many people get washed out because of greed --- Entering on a 15-minute chart while using the 4-hour chart—how long does it take to develop that sense of rhythm? --- An 8% retracement on a black swan? Sometimes I can start with a 20% drop in a single trade... --- Keeping a simple mindset for trading, easy to say but hard to do, brother --- Locking profits in cold wallets really helps with psychological resilience --- Opening both long and short positions on the same coin is a bit daring, the market teaching its own rhythm—this idea is brilliant
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GasFeeDodgervip
· 2025-12-20 08:36
The principle of protecting the principal really hit home, how many people die because of greed --- A 40% win rate can still be profitable, this risk-reward thinking is indeed top-notch --- Another story of going from liquidation to doubling, sounds very familiar --- Stop-loss is actually the hardest thing to do, most people simply can't execute it --- Opening both long and short positions simultaneously to let the market teach me the rhythm, this idea is quite new --- Starting with 30 million at 2600U, this number is a bit off, right? --- A simple mindset makes trading smoother, you're right, but actually doing it is really hard --- Avoiding black swan drawdowns not exceeding 8%, that's a bit aggressive to boast about --- Trying layered take-profit to lock in gains, I need to try this, feels more reliable than all-in --- The most heartbreaking thing is still the phrase "Stay alive in the game," how many people died along the way
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consensus_failurevip
· 2025-12-20 08:33
That's right, living is much more important than making money. No one really takes stop-loss seriously, then gets liquidated. A 40% success rate relying on risk-reward ratio to turn things around—that logic is just brilliant. I just want to ask, how is an 8% drawdown achieved? It takes a lot of patience. Simple systems > complex strategies. This sounds smooth, but few can really stick to it. Locking cold wallets is indeed a smart move to prevent oneself from being careless. Most people in the crypto world fail due to mindset issues. Your approach definitely has some valuable insights. From 2,600 to 30 million, it's definitely not luck. How many losses have you had to endure?
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MidnightTradervip
· 2025-12-20 08:33
Having the principal alive is the real winner, everything else is just floating clouds --- Exactly, take profits and cut losses really need to be strictly adhered to, otherwise it's just gambling --- A 40% success rate can still guarantee a win? It all depends on not being greedy --- Stop making wild predictions, just follow the market rhythm and you'll be fine --- Dividing funds into ten parts is indeed a brilliant strategy, but the premise is self-discipline --- Listening to so many big players share their experience, in the end, you still have to explore through practical experience --- I need to try the cold wallet locking in profits trick --- Is a simple mindset enough for smooth trading? I feel the simpler it is, the more likely I am to get itchy hands --- A black swan can still only cause an 8% retracement, such strength is impressive --- Staying in the game is more important than how much you earn, this is a brilliant statement
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