#以太坊行情解读 Since 2022, I have been pondering how to truly make money. Tried various indicator combinations, following social signals, using bots for automated trading—what was the result? The more I fiddled, the more I lost. Those "advanced" methods turned out to be tools for cutting leeks.

Eventually, I decided to cut all the complicated stuff and stick to just four steps—just these four steps, and I achieved six-figure profits since 2022. Honestly, this method is not flashy at all, even a bit "dumb," but because it's simple, I can stick with it.

**Step 1: Filtering Coins**

The crypto world has new concepts and hot topics every day, most of which are traps. My approach is straightforward: only look at tokens that have appeared on the daily gain list within the last 11 days. Why? Because popularity indicates that main funds are involved. Coins with no momentum, no matter how cheap, are not worth touching. Then I cut again—delete all that have fallen for 3 days in a row. The main players have already left, and no matter how beautiful the technical chart looks, it’s useless. After these two filtering steps, I pick out 20-30 coins from thousands, which makes life much easier.

**Step 2: Set the Direction**

This step only looks at one thing: the monthly MACD golden cross. Many people like to chase hot topics and gamble on news, ending up trapped. My logic is to only enter when the monthly MACD shows a golden cross—indicating a bullish trend is starting, which is a tailwind; if there’s no golden cross, it’s just a bear market rebound, better to miss it than go against the trend. This step cuts out about 70% of the tokens, but the win rate instantly improves.

**Step 3: Find Entry Points**

By this stage, the number of remaining coins is already small. How to enter? The only signal is the 60-day moving average on the daily chart. When the price first retraces to the 60 MA with volume, that’s the signal to buy. But there’s a strict rule: based on a "stop loss at 5% loss," determine the position size so that single trade risk never exceeds 2% of total capital. No chasing dips or buying on hype—only buy when volume appears on the line, and stay in cash otherwise.

**Step 4: Sell**

Discipline is most critical here. It’s not about selling everything at a small gain or holding stubbornly. The rules are clear: sell 1/3 at a 30% gain, another 1/3 at a 50% gain, and if the remaining position falls below the 60 MA, close all. Remember—if it falls below, you can buy back; but if you get margin called, you must exit completely. No matter how much profit you made earlier, it’s meaningless if you get wiped out.

**Three Iron Rules of Risk Control**

Hold no more than 3 coins at a time to diversify risk. If monthly drawdown reaches 6%, stop trading—don’t be greedy. Take 50% of the profits each year and convert to stablecoins; real gains are only realized when cash is in hand.

Many people think trading crypto requires intelligence, sharpness, and the ability to predict the market. Actually, it’s not. Those who last long rely on the speed of admitting mistakes and execution. There’s no perfect strategy—only strategies you can stick to. I’ve used these four steps for nearly three years. The core is not to fight the market, follow the indicators, and let discipline make decisions for you.