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Trump has recently been staging a sort of Federal Reserve Board selection show—interview after interview, each hinting at the same signal: "I want to cut interest rates significantly." It's like holding a gold medal ticket, waiting for someone to come and take it.

The four candidates perform quite differently:
✅Haskett is cheerleading with evidence that inflation has peaked;
✅Wosh maintains a very dovish stance;
✅Waller is praised extravagantly, but can't seem to speed up rate cuts;
✅Rieder is still preparing campaign materials.

In short, this isn't about choosing a central bank governor; it's more like recruiting a "dive master" for rate cuts.

The problem is, the Federal Reserve, a century-old institution, has its own logic. Williams hints that inflation data might have been "whitewashed," Goolsbee keeps handing over matches (implying risks remain), while Waller is firmly pressing the brakes—before the fire is fully out, no one dares to step on the gas.

Looking back at the disaster of the 1970s: political forces forcibly pushed for rate cuts, which triggered runaway inflation. Now, these candidates know full well—once they sit in the chair, both market microscopes and historical searchlights will shine simultaneously. No matter how loudly Trump calls for "large rate cuts," it can't beat the real jumps in monthly CPI data.

What do you think? Who will ultimately compromise in this collision between political enthusiasm and economic laws? Share your judgment in the comments.
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DaisyUnicornvip
· 12-20 06:23
The flowers of the 70s have all been frozen to death. Do they really dare to reenact it this time? Political shows are political shows; in the face of data, everyone is a rookie.
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BloodInStreetsvip
· 12-20 06:22
Political enthusiasm can't compete with CPI data. This time, Trump is probably going to miss out. The dream of interest rate cuts clashes with the reality of inflation, and in the end, it's still a matter of taking a loss.
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GasFeeLadyvip
· 12-20 06:22
ngl, this fed chair carousel is giving major MEV vibes—everyone jockeying for position while the actual chain doesn't care lol. politics vs market mechanics always plays out the same way, and spoiler alert: data wins every time. can't frontrun inflation.
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PensionDestroyervip
· 12-20 06:19
The lessons from the 70s haven't been fully learned, and now you're starting over? That's funny.
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