Based on recent economic data, there are indeed some noteworthy points. The official US inflation report has shown a subtle change in its statistical approach—year-over-year data has been replaced by a three-month moving average, which has caused inflation figures to drop from over 2% to 1.6%, making the numbers look more favorable. This methodological adjustment often hints at an emerging policy inclination toward interest rate cuts.

If interest rate cuts do occur, how will liquidity move? Historical experience tells us that during easing cycles, funds do not enter gradually but tend to flood in rapidly. As a risk asset, the crypto market usually reacts strongly. Bitcoin and Ethereum may perform well, but the real opportunities are often hidden in low-market-cap, high-volatility projects—they are most sensitive to liquidity and have the greatest potential for gains.

But there is a practical issue: the other side of a sharp rise is a sharp fall. The year 2025 will leave the market with two types of participants—one group that has already laid out their positions, willing to add more on dips and hold through rises; another group that is entirely driven by market sentiment, chasing highs and selling lows, ending up with nothing.

The interest rate cut cycle is neither a life-saving straw nor a secret to instant wealth; it is a touchstone. It tests your understanding of market laws and reveals the true depth of your capital. In the crypto world, there are no shortcuts—only a contest of cognition and mindset. Understanding policies, grasping market logic, and managing risks—these are the fundamentals for lasting survival.