2025-12-20 04:20:13

#大户持仓动态 $BTC $ETH $BNB

Analyst Tom Lee recently shared his view: Ethereum is expected to break through the $7,000-$9,000 mark before Q1 2026. Currently trading around $3,000, this implies a rise of over 130%.

Several core factors support this judgment: accelerated expansion of the Layer2 ecosystem, a boom in on-chain RWA (Real-World Assets), and continuous institutional investment. His logic is that ETH will outperform BTC in this cycle.

But how likely is this? He estimates the probability at 50-60%. This figure is quite honest—it’s backed by fundamentals, not just wishful thinking, but frankly, the short-term market is easily swayed by panic emotions, with large fluctuations. Plus, since he holds a significant position in ETH himself, there’s inevitably some bias.

What’s your take? Are the signs of a new bull market really emerging? The safest approach is still not to go all-in. Either hold steadily and wait for opportunities, or build positions gradually at lower prices—this reduces psychological pressure significantly.

What do you all think? What’s your target price for Ethereum?🚀

BTC0.13%

ETH0.46%

BNB0.26%

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New_Ser_Ngmi

· 12-20 06:05

There's a 50-60% chance that telling the truth is just flipping a coin; I might as well guess myself. Tom Lee heavily invested in ETH, which already says a lot—who doesn't have some bias? I believe in the Layer2 explosion, but $7,000 before 2026? That's too optimistic, brother. Now, only the brave are going all-in; I prefer to buy in stages for safety. I'm optimistic about this RWA wave, but I need to wait for a lower entry point.

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Rugpull幸存者

· 12-20 04:50

50-60% chance it's still a dream, can you believe Tom Lee himself is heavily invested?

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SchrodingerWallet

· 12-20 04:45

A 50-60% chance basically means gambling level. Tom Lee, this guy, is heavily invested, so of course he's going to speak favorably.

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VitaliksTwin

· 12-20 04:40

A 50-60% probability basically means gambling, and since Tom Lee is heavily invested, we have to take that with a grain of salt.

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SnapshotLaborer

· 12-20 04:40

A 50-60% chance basically means it's all about luck; even Tom Lee doesn't dare to guarantee it, so we should be more cautious. Gradually building a position is truly the only way to make money while staying alive; don't believe in sudden wealth stories, those are all just stories.

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BearMarketHustler

· 12-20 04:38

50-60% probability? Basically, it's gambling. I'll just hold steadily and not follow the trend.

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SerumSquirter

· 12-20 04:25

Well, I do believe Tom Lee's 50-60% probability statement, at least he didn't hype it up to 100% guaranteed rise haha. But speaking of which, his heavy holding of ETH is a bit hard to believe. Is he genuinely optimistic about the fundamentals or just speaking for his own position? There's some serious water in there. Layer2 and RWA are indeed brewing, but I still have reservations about the 7000-9000 price range. The short-term market is too easily driven by emotions. I'm buying in batches anyway, no rush. If it drops, I'll just keep scooping at lower levels. How high do you think ETH can go in this wave? I think 5000 dollars might be more realistic.

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Lonely_Validator

· 12-20 04:21

50-60% probability basically means gambling, I still trust my own judgment a bit more --- Tom, this guy holding a large position in ETH, still dares to claim neutrality, it cracks me up --- Layer2 is definitely a positive development, but not to the point of tripling, that's too optimistic --- 2026 is still so far away, anything said now is just wishful thinking --- I just want to know, if he's wrong, who will pay the price --- Gradually building a position is a more reliable suggestion; going all in just makes you a leek (retail investor) --- The RWA concept has been hyped for the past two years, has it actually been implemented? --- 130% sounds great, but the market isn't that obedient --- Honestly, this 50-60% probability is just a cover for himself, used as a safety net

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