Overnight, many people's positions shrank. That deep night gap-down candlestick looks like a cold knife stabbing straight into the hearts of holders.



The root cause is simple: the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is once again talking about raising interest rates. Around 10 a.m. today, Tokyo will announce its decision. But there's a question that confuses many—how can a small East Asian country's central bank decision cause the entire global market for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and even the altcoin market to plummet simultaneously?

The logic behind this is actually quite straightforward. Over the past decade, global hot money has been playing a classic game: borrowing cheap yen and then swooping in to buy high-yield assets worldwide. The cryptocurrency market is precisely the part of this capital pool that attracts the most international capital. Now that Japan is about to raise interest rates, the cost of borrowing jumps accordingly. International capital teams holding massive yen-denominated debt's first reaction is to sell all risk assets to pay off their debts. Whether it's Bitcoin or altcoins, they all have to be sold—this isn't some market manipulator smashing the market; it's a macro rate-driven global capital exodus. Your holdings, in this massive transfer, are really just a weed stepped on in the process.

So the question is: in the face of such volatility, besides holding firm or cutting losses and fleeing, is there any other way?

Many choose the path of "continuing to go long,坚持DCA分批买入" (dollar-cost averaging in batches). This requires strong confidence and even greater patience; that courage is truly admirable. But a more practical dilemma is: during the long period of weekly incremental investments and waiting for the market to stabilize, where should the remaining funds in your account be allocated? Risky to leave them on the exchange? Convert to fiat to withstand inflation erosion? Or find some smarter "standby mode"? These questions are the real tests of an investor's skill.
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SybilSlayervip
· 13h ago
The Bank of Japan's move has truly killed global funds. We are just the grass that got trampled. Wait, the question is when can we wait for the next buy the dip opportunity? DCA is a way, but the idle money in the account is really uncomfortable... Those who cut losses this time will regret it to death, and now they want to take the opposite position again. Under macro drives, we really have no way out, we can only wait for the interest rate trend to change. We can't play the yen arbitrage game at all, it's too big. Simply put, it's the big fish eating the small fish, and we are just being tossed around in the middle. Let's continue DCA, after all, we've already lost, so let's treat it as Auto-Invest.
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WhaleMistakervip
· 12-20 02:52
When the Bank of Japan takes action, the whole world kneels. I’ve seen through this wave of fragmentation. To put it simply, it’s just arbitrage liquidation, which has nothing to do with us. DCA sounds decent, but in reality, it’s just betting on the next wave.
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BlockchainTherapistvip
· 12-20 02:52
The Bank of Japan is truly incredible. A single decision can turn the global markets upside down. Basically, it's still the carry trade strategy—when the cheap yen tightens, the funding chain completely breaks down. Retail investors like us become the ants being trampled. DCA sounds great, but it's uncomfortable to have idle money sitting anywhere in the account. That's the real test.
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SchrodingerWalletvip
· 12-20 02:49
The Bank of Japan's move is really brilliant, directly pulling global funds back home. --- Another cut, feels like the entire cycle is being cut. --- So basically, we are being messed up by macro interest rates. When will the People's Bank of China also make some bold moves? --- DCA sounds good, but when you have no spare funds, it really becomes awkward. How to endure those two months until stabilization? --- Damn, got stepped on again. This drop is very logical, but it doesn't stop me from losing money. --- The problem is, where to put the investment funds is uncomfortable everywhere. Tossing them into exchanges makes me anxious, converting to fiat is also eaten up by inflation. --- Yen borrowing arbitrage is exploding, and we're just following along to be sacrificed. This is the cost of globalization. --- It's really just a liquidity shortage. Once the BOJ implements their plans, it might be another story. --- Looking at this logic, rather than DCA, it's better to wait for a clearer bottom before taking action.
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