The recent "Simpson Prediction" phenomenon going viral is a bit absurd. The entire internet is spreading stories about an old cartoon hinting that LUNC will eliminate a zero before 2030, even shouting slogans like "$10 becomes $100,000." Behind this collective frenzy, it's really just FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) at work, and it's the easiest thing to make people lose their judgment.

I admit, these kinds of predictions sound very attractive. But before being blinded by any narrative of "inevitability," there's one thing you must think through clearly.

**Can predictions be a reason for investment?**

Honestly, the "predictions" that sound cool are essentially just emotions. They are narratives on social media, collective resonance, but absolutely not a verifiable basis of value. If you base your investment decisions on these things, the risks are obvious.

This also highlights a question: in the entire crypto world, what is truly scarce? It's not stories, not dreams, but the kind of stability that isn't affected by emotional swings and can be verified.

For example, stablecoins. You might not have noticed, but the value logic of these assets is completely different. They don't rely on predictions or collective imagination but are backed by on-chain assets that are verifiable in real-time and fully over-collateralized. This kind of "certainty" may not sound as exciting, but when chasing assets like LUNC that heavily depend on narratives, holding such a thing is like holding onto an anchor in a storm — it prevents you from being completely swept away by the waves of public opinion.

**What’s behind the hundredfold dream?**

Everyone is doing the math: how many times does $10 need to multiply to become $1 million? But no one wants to discuss another question — what if this dream shatters?

Genuine mature risk investment isn't just about looking at the upside; it’s about planning several things at once: when to take profits, when to cut losses, and how to protect your principal in the worst-case scenario. This isn’t cowardice; it’s respect for yourself.

Many chase high returns and end up with nothing because they never consider the question "what if I’m wrong." When they enter, their minds are full of hundredfold dreams; when they exit, they face despair with losses over 50%.

**Strategy is more important than betting**

This isn’t to say LUNC has no chance, but you need a complete set of game rules. The simplest logic is: determine your position size based on how much loss you can tolerate, not the other way around — how much you want to earn determines how much loss you’re willing to accept.

What’s a smarter approach? It’s to chase high-risk assets while reserving enough stable assets as a "safety cushion." When the market is crazy, this cushion prevents you from being wiped out too badly. When the market cools down, it gives you space to think calmly.

Stablecoins play a key role here. They don’t give the thrill of rapid gains, but they offer certainty. Finding a balance between risk and reward is essentially using mathematics and transparent mechanisms to counteract emotions. It may not sound as sexy, but it helps you survive longer.

**Final words**

The magic of the crypto market lies in giving ordinary people the chance to participate in high-risk, high-reward games. But this also means you must be responsible for your decisions. Don’t be blinded by online predictions, and don’t ignore those seemingly insignificant things that can save your life.

When the next wave of market moves in, only those with an exit strategy will be able to laugh last.