$BTC Breakthrough of key resistance, the market welcomes a triple resonance of positive factors
The release of CPI data has completely changed market expectations. The interest rate cut window has reopened, what does this mean for risk assets? Looking at on-chain data makes it clear — in the past 24 hours, net inflow of major funds reached as high as $116 million. This is not small money; it’s real funds voting with their feet.
The technical aspect is even more straightforward. All key moving averages have been broken through, and the candlestick patterns are clear and powerful. But here’s an interesting phenomenon: when the bulls are so determined, the retail short positions on some large trading platforms still account for 64%-72%.
What is this? It’s an opportunity. At the start of a trend, a large number of contrarian positions can become the rocket fuel for subsequent market movements.
**The specific trading logic is simple:**
Bottom layout point: When the price retraces to the 87,800-88,200 range, it’s an excellent entry point. If there’s a volume breakout above 89,500, then chase.
Risk control: 87,200 is the solid bottom. Unless macro logic completely reverses (CPI rises again or policy shifts), there’s no need to worry excessively.
Upward targets: First stage 89,500, second stage 92,000. The space beyond depends on the scale of short squeeze.
The underlying logic of this round of market is a triangle resonance of macro (interest rate cut expectations) + capital (main force intervention) + sentiment (retail contrarian positions). When all three point in the same direction, history often provides astonishing answers.
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MetaverseLandlord
· 12-20 00:51
The 64% retail short position is purely a reverse indicator of retail investors being caught in the trap. This wave is really about to take off.
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token_therapist
· 12-20 00:51
Hmm... $116 million net inflow, retail investors are still 64% short? This buy and sell is really tempting.
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HallucinationGrower
· 12-20 00:33
Retail investors are still blindly shorting, while big players have already laid their traps. This wave is really a money-making opportunity.
$BTC Breakthrough of key resistance, the market welcomes a triple resonance of positive factors
The release of CPI data has completely changed market expectations. The interest rate cut window has reopened, what does this mean for risk assets? Looking at on-chain data makes it clear — in the past 24 hours, net inflow of major funds reached as high as $116 million. This is not small money; it’s real funds voting with their feet.
The technical aspect is even more straightforward. All key moving averages have been broken through, and the candlestick patterns are clear and powerful. But here’s an interesting phenomenon: when the bulls are so determined, the retail short positions on some large trading platforms still account for 64%-72%.
What is this? It’s an opportunity. At the start of a trend, a large number of contrarian positions can become the rocket fuel for subsequent market movements.
**The specific trading logic is simple:**
Bottom layout point: When the price retraces to the 87,800-88,200 range, it’s an excellent entry point. If there’s a volume breakout above 89,500, then chase.
Risk control: 87,200 is the solid bottom. Unless macro logic completely reverses (CPI rises again or policy shifts), there’s no need to worry excessively.
Upward targets: First stage 89,500, second stage 92,000. The space beyond depends on the scale of short squeeze.
The underlying logic of this round of market is a triangle resonance of macro (interest rate cut expectations) + capital (main force intervention) + sentiment (retail contrarian positions). When all three point in the same direction, history often provides astonishing answers.