Does the end of political paralysis open the door for growth? 📊

The Senate’s voice has already sounded – the vote on ending the shutdown has passed. Now the decision lies with the House of Representatives, whose vote is scheduled for November 12. After the document is approved, only President Trump’s signature remains, which would mean the official end of the largest government shutdown in history.

Markets Have Always Recovered

Historical patterns clearly show – the stock market usually rebounds after resolving political crises in Washington. The data speaks for itself:

• 2013 shutdown: after it ended, the S&P 500 increased by 4.5% within a month • 2019 episode: index growth was 5.1% • 1995–1996 crisis: increase of 4%

Statistically, the situation was unprecedented – practically every time political uncertainty subsided, financial markets experienced a rebound. Investors clearly prefer stability over chaos.

The Economy Awaits a Quick Boost

When government spending finally normalizes, the economy receives a breath of fresh air. Federal employees resume consumption, public orders are renewed, and the private sector revitalizes activities. This is the traditional scenario for returning to equilibrium.

Analysts point to four main impulses for the markets if the plan is approved:

1. Resumption of economic data releases
2. Reduction of political noise and uncertainty
3. Reactivation of government contracts
4. Normalization of public expenditures

However, the outlook is not entirely safe

Optimism has its limits. In January, the deadline for budget funding will pass again – the question is whether history will repeat itself. The economy has already suffered a loss, some aspects of which cannot be fully reversed. Political uncertainty may return faster than expected, destabilizing investor sentiment once more.

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