WCT/USDT Short-Term & Long-Term Operation Analysis (June 19, 2025)

1. Short-term trading (intraday/3-5 days, betting on oversold rebounds)

Core logic: Relying on oversold indicators (KDJ, StochRSI, WR) to capture short-term rebounds, but be wary of the risk that the "downward trend has not changed."

1. Key Signal

- Oversold Alerts:
- KDJ: K=9.54, D=10.10, J=8.45 (the third line is close to the oversold area, there is potential for a rebound, but no golden cross has been formed);
- StochRSI: value 0.00 (extremely oversold, hinting at the need for a short-term rebound);
- WR：WR(10)=-91.82、WR(6)=-84.32 (both entered the oversold zone).
- Weak trend:
- The price is far below EMA5 (0.3617) and EMA10 (0.3883), and the bearish trend remains intact.
- The MACD is still negative (MACD=-0.0114), the green column is not significantly shortened, and the bearish strength remains.

2. Operating Strategy

- Light positions for long (rebound speculation):
- Entry conditions: The price stands firm at EMA5 (0.3617 USDT) and KDJ forms a "golden cross" (K crosses above D), or StochRSI turns upwards.
- Target level: 1st resistance level EMA10 (0.3883 USDT), 2nd resistance level 0.4 USDT (former low support turned resistance).
- Stop Loss: Falls below 0.33 USDT (recent swing low, ≤5% stop loss).
- Short-term betting on a downward trend (trend continuation):
- If the price rebounds to 0.36-0.37 USDT and faces resistance (EMA5 suppression + KDJ turning down), a small position can be taken to short, betting on the continuation of the decline.
- Stop Loss: Breakthrough 0.38 USDT (short-term resistance level, stop loss space ≤3%).

2. Long term operation (monthly level and above, layout trend reversal)

Core logic: wait for "trend reversal signal + fundamental support", otherwise avoid the "downward trap".

1. Key reversal signals

- Technicals:
- The price needs to break through EMA60 (0.4741 USDT) and stand firm (the medium-term moving average is suppressed, and the trend reversal is confirmed after breakout);
- MACD forms a "golden cross" (DIF crosses above DEA), and the OBV indicator turns upward (signal of capital inflow).
- Fundamentals:
- It is necessary to verify whether the project has new applications launched, large capital positions, and favorable conditions from exchanges (such as whether the track to which WCT belongs has policy support and ecological progress); otherwise, it may continue to decline after overselling.

2. Operational Strategy

- Mainly observing:
- The current price is in the "middle of the downtrend", and there is no reversal signal (moving average short arrangement, MACD negative range, OBV continues to flow out), and the risk of blind dipping in the long term is extremely high.
- Left layout (very cautious):
- If the price falls below 0.3 USDT (previous low support area, and oversold indicators strengthened), you can try "left side light position layout" (accounting for long-term positions ≤ 10%), betting on an extreme rebound;
- Right side confirmation: After breaking through 0.4741 USDT (EMA60), increase the position to 50%, leaving the remaining position for trend continuation.

3. Risk warning

1. Characteristics of Altcoins: WCT belongs to low market cap coins, has a high degree of control, and is highly volatile. There may be "pump-and-dump" harvesting markets, so beware of stock manipulation traps.
2. Delisting risk: If there is no substantial progress in the project, the long-term decline may lead to the delisting of the exchange, and it is necessary to pay attention to the fundamentals of the project.
3. Position management: short-term positions ≤ 10%, long-term layout needs to be opened in batches, strict stop loss (such as long-term stop loss set to 15-20%).

Summary:

- short-term: oversold but trend is weak, can try "stand firm on EMA5 with light position to speculate on rebound", or "try short if rebound is blocked", quick in and out;
- long term: Remain firmly on the sidelines before any reversal signals, waiting for dual confirmation from both "technical + fundamentals" before making a move.

(Note: The above is based on technical analysis, #CandyDrop 全民空投 4.0 #GateioInto11 #GT #Gate最新储备金104.53亿美元创安全新标杆 the risk of the crypto market is extremely high, and decision-making needs to be judged independently.) ）