Trading Reflection: The Shift from Emotional Trading to Disciplined Investing

1. The main issues in the current transaction
Emotional decision-making when buying
"Bottom illusion": Seeing the K-line of a certain coin at a low position, one subjectively thinks "it can't drop any further, it will definitely rise", without conducting in-depth analysis:
Does its fundamentals support an increase?
Is the market capital concerned about it?
Is there enough buying pressure to drive it?
2. "Rebound Psychology": When the market rebounds, blindly buying underperforming coins, believing "it will definitely catch up," but neglecting:
Market funds may have rotated to other sectors, and this coin may continue to be weak.
If there are no clear catalysts (such as positive news or capital inflows), it may remain stagnant for a long time or even continue to decline.
3. Lack of buying three questions:
What is the investment logic? (Is it trend trading? Value investing? Or short-term speculation?)
Is it a deterministic opportunity? Why buy now? (Are there clear signals? Such as volume breakout, market sentiment recovery, project benefits, etc.)
What is the risk-reward ratio? (If wrong, where is the stop loss? If right, what is the target?)
4. Emotional decision-making when selling
"Fear of Missing Out" psychology: After a slight increase, one hesitates to sell, thinking "let's wait a bit longer," resulting in profit giving back or even turning into a loss.
"Fear of Loss" Psychology: A slight drop causes fear of further decline, leading to hasty stop-loss actions, ultimately selling at the lowest point.
"Only sell when losing money": The lack of a clear profit-taking and stop-loss strategy leads to profits turning into losses and losses expanding.
5. Improvement Plan: Establish Trading Discipline
You must answer three questions before buying.
What is the investment logic? (Trend following? Oversold rebound? Improvement in fundamentals?)
Is it a deterministic opportunity? Why buy now? (Is there a technical breakout? Is market sentiment in alignment? Is there an influx of capital?)
③ What is the risk-reward ratio? (Where is the stop-loss level? Where is the target level? Is it worth the risk?)
6. Selling Rules
Take Profit Strategy:
Short-term trading: Start to gradually exit after an increase of more than 20 points.
Trend trading: Gradually exit when the market is hot.
Stop-loss strategy:
Stop loss, not stop profit (sell regardless of profit or loss when the reason for buying becomes invalid).
7. Emotional Management
Avoid the "fear of missing out" mentality: there are always opportunities in the market, so do not make impulsive purchases because of FOMO.
Avoid the "fear of missing out" mentality: the money you've earned is yours, do not be greedy.
Record transaction logs: clearly write down the reasons for buying and selling after each transaction, review the correctness, and avoid making the same mistakes repeatedly.
8. Summary
In past trades, I relied too much on emotions and intuition, which led to frequent regrets and losses. In the future, I need to:
Replace feelings with logic and ask yourself three questions before each trade.
Establish clear buying and selling rules to avoid arbitrary operations.
#BTC近期能否重返100k? #BTC #USDT 市值创新高 #PI #ETH